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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 16claybest of three sets

Heide vs Prado Angelo: prediction and tips

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Gustavo HeideATP #112Elo 1820clay 1843
-:-
Juan Carlos Prado AngeloATP #193Elo 1719clay 1726

Our tips

Tip in 13m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Gustavo Heide62%
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo38%

Elo: G. Heide 66% · J. Prado Angelo 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Heide41%
2:1 G. Heide22%
2:1 J. Prado Angelo16%
2:0 J. Prado Angelo21%

First set

Gustavo Heide60%
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 57%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%31%68%
19.562%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%64%34%

Sample: 4,849 matches

Games handicap

G. Heide −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. HeideTourJ. Prado Angelo
Service points won63%62%59%
Return points won41%38%41%
Service games held79%76%69%
Breaks of serve29%24%31%
Aces per service game0.380.18
Double faults per game0.430.18
Sets with a tie-break9%14%
Tie-breaks won11/1514/21
Wins in straight sets77%69%
Matches in the sample7265

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gustavo Heide

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Elo over the last year

Gustavo HeideJuan Carlos Prado Angelo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. HeideJ. Prado Angelo
Hard court1–517%5–645%
Clay46–1872%31–2258%
Grass1–150%0–10%

Head to head

G. Heide 1–1 J. Prado Angelo

  • 02/04/26Winner: G. Heide6:4 6:3
  • 14/10/25Winner: J. Prado Angelo4:6 6:3 5:7

Road through the tournament

Gustavo Heide

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo