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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Prado Angelo vs Boscardin Dias 2:0: result and our tips

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Juan Carlos Prado AngeloATP #193Elo 1706clay 1713
2:0final6:1 6:4
Pedro Boscardin DiasATP #300Elo 1630clay 1630

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 71%

Under 25.5 games in 6 of their 6 head-to-head matches

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Prado AngeloWon70%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Prado Angelo won 5 of 6 head-to-head matches

  • 1st Set Winner: Prado AngeloWon65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Prado Angelo won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Boscardin Dias lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 28% → with the players' profiles 34%

Under 18.5 games in 4 of their 6 head-to-head matches; Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Prado Angelo 8 of 20, Boscardin Dias 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo69%
Pedro Boscardin Dias31%

Elo: J. Prado Angelo 62% · P. Boscardin Dias 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Prado Angelo46%
2:1 J. Prado Angelo23%
2:1 P. Boscardin Dias14%
2:0 P. Boscardin Dias17%

First set

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo64%
Pedro Boscardin Dias36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%26%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%46%
22.540%60%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 4,082 matches

Games handicap

J. Prado Angelo −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Juan Carlos Prado AngeloPedro Boscardin Dias
0Aces1
1Double faults3
60%First serves in61%
77%First-serve points won51%
60%Second-serve points won46%
4/8Break points converted1/2
8/9Service games held4/8
70%Service points won49%
51%Return points won30%
64Total points won43

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Prado AngeloTourP. Boscardin Dias
Service points won59%62%58%
Return points won41%38%39%
Service games held69%76%67%
Breaks of serve31%24%29%
Aces per service game0.180.25
Double faults per game0.180.27
Sets with a tie-break14%14%
Tie-breaks won14/2110/17
Wins in straight sets69%64%
Matches in the sample6455

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Elo over the last year

Juan Carlos Prado AngeloPedro Boscardin Dias

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Prado AngeloP. Boscardin Dias
Hard court5–645%0–10%
Clay30–2258%25–2847%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

J. Prado Angelo 5–1 P. Boscardin Dias

  • 26/10/26Winner: J. Prado Angelo6:3 6:2
  • 08/10/26Winner: J. Prado Angelo6:2 6:3
  • 17/10/25Winner: P. Boscardin Dias4:6 4:6
  • 16/09/25Winner: J. Prado Angelo6:2 6:2
  • 27/06/25Winner: J. Prado Angelo6:4 6:1
  • 14/10/24Winner: J. Prado Angelo2:6 6:3 6:2

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