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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Kolar vs Moller 0:2: result and our tips

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Zdenek KolarATP #206Elo 1647clay 1649
0:2final2:6 2:6
Elmer MollerATP #150Elo 1767clay 1782

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: MollerWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Moller: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: MollerWon72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Moller won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Zdenek Kolar28%
Elmer Moller72%

Elo: Z. Kolar 32% · E. Moller 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Kolar16%
2:1 Z. Kolar13%
2:1 E. Moller23%
2:0 E. Moller48%

First set

Zdenek Kolar34%
Elmer Moller66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%76%
18.563%37%68%
19.555%45%59%
20.550%50%52%
21.543%57%46%
22.538%62%40%
23.536%64%36%

Sample: 3,714 matches

Games handicap

E. Moller −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Zdenek KolarElmer Moller
1Aces4
2Double faults4
60%First serves in69%
47%First-serve points won61%
36%Second-serve points won63%
2/9Break points converted6/9
2/8Service games held6/8
43%Service points won61%
39%Return points won57%
51Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. KolarTourE. Moller
Service points won60%62%57%
Return points won40%38%43%
Service games held72%76%66%
Breaks of serve28%24%33%
Aces per service game0.210.19
Double faults per game0.360.44
Sets with a tie-break14%11%
Tie-breaks won9/2110/14
Wins in straight sets79%68%
Matches in the sample6857

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zdenek Kolar

Elmer Moller

Elo over the last year

Zdenek KolarElmer Moller

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. KolarE. Moller
Hard court5–742%2–625%
Clay28–2751%29–2059%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

Z. Kolar 1–0 E. Moller

  • 21/11/25Winner: Z. Kolar6:3 6:1