WTA Hong KongWTA 250Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Sasnovich vs Sakkari: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Aliaksandra Sasnovich42%
Maria Sakkari59%
Elo: A. Sasnovich 43% · M. Sakkari 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Sasnovich27%
2:1 A. Sasnovich17%
2:1 M. Sakkari21%
2:0 M. Sakkari35%
First set
Aliaksandra Sasnovich46%
Maria Sakkari54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 2,514 matches
Games handicap
M. Sakkari −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Sasnovich | Tour | M. Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 67% | 63% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 42% | 37% | 34% |
| Aces per service game | 0.27 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/15 | 4/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 47 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- 04/11/26WTalia Gibson#36WTA Hong Kong · R166:1 5:7 7:6
- 02/11/26WKatie Volynets#78WTA Hong Kong · R326:3 6:2
- 01/11/26WCarol Young Suh Lee#153WTA Hong Kong · Q26:2 6:1
- 31/10/26WCheuk Ying Shek#634WTA Hong Kong · Q16:4 6:2
- 28/10/26LDiana Shnaider#11WTA Tokyo · R163:6 7:5 3:6
- 27/10/26WNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Tokyo · R326:4 6:7 6:3
- 25/10/26WKamilla Rakhimova#44WTA Tokyo · Q26:4 6:4
- 24/10/26WYuliia Starodubtseva#54WTA Tokyo · Q16:4 7:5
- 21/10/26LLeylah Fernandez#18WTA Ningbo · R165:7 7:6 3:6
- 19/10/26WDaria Kasatkina#73WTA Ningbo · R326:4 6:2
Maria Sakkari
- 04/11/26WMaya Joint#90WTA Hong Kong · R164:6 6:3 6:3
- 02/11/26WCarol Young Suh Lee#153WTA Hong Kong · R326:1 6:4
- 27/10/26LYulia Putintseva#64WTA Tokyo · R324:6 6:3 1:6
- 16/10/26LMaja Chwalińska#12WTA Wuhan · QF0:6 6:3 5:7
- 15/10/26WMia Pohankova#119WTA Wuhan · R166:1 6:4
- 13/10/26WMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Wuhan · R324:6 6:2 6:2
- 12/10/26WDonna Vekic#39WTA Wuhan · R646:4 6:2
- 05/10/26LElina Svitolina#6WTA Beijing · R324:6 5:7
- 03/10/26WStorm Hunter#161WTA Beijing · R646:2 6:2
- 25/09/26LTalia Gibson#36WTA Singapore · QF1:6 6:4 2:6
Elo over the last year
Aliaksandra SasnovichMaria Sakkari
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Sasnovich | M. Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–1765% | 21–1362% |
| Clay | 8–657% | 3–538% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 2–340% |
Head to head
A. Sasnovich 0–1 M. Sakkari
- 22/06/23Winner: M. Sakkari2:6 1:6
Road through the tournament
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- 31/10/26WCheuk Ying Shek#634WTA Hong Kong · Q16:4 6:2
- 01/11/26WCarol Young Suh Lee#153WTA Hong Kong · Q26:2 6:1
- 02/11/26WKatie Volynets#78WTA Hong Kong · R326:3 6:2
- 04/11/26WTalia Gibson#36WTA Hong Kong · R166:1 5:7 7:6
Maria Sakkari
- 02/11/26WCarol Young Suh Lee#153WTA Hong Kong · R326:1 6:4
- 04/11/26WMaya Joint#90WTA Hong Kong · R164:6 6:3 6:3
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