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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Lee vs Sakkari 0:2: result and our tips

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Carol Young Suh LeeWTA #153Elo 1700hard 1687
0:2final1:6 4:6
Maria SakkariWTA #30Elo 1882hard 1872

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 20.5Won56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Lee: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Lee: 4 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carol Young Suh Lee19%
Maria Sakkari81%

Elo: C. Lee 26% · M. Sakkari 74%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Lee10%
2:1 C. Lee10%
2:1 M. Sakkari22%
2:0 M. Sakkari59%

First set

Carol Young Suh Lee26%
Maria Sakkari74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%82%
17.568%32%72%
18.559%41%64%
19.551%49%56%
20.544%56%49%
21.540%60%44%
22.535%65%38%

Sample: 1,399 matches

Games handicap

M. Sakkari −5.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Carol Young Suh LeeMaria Sakkari
1Aces4
1Double faults4
71%First serves in62%
57%First-serve points won72%
47%Second-serve points won58%
0/3Break points converted3/8
5/8Service games held9/9
54%Service points won67%
33%Return points won46%
53Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. LeeTourM. Sakkari
Service points won58%56%59%
Return points won42%44%43%
Service games held68%63%69%
Breaks of serve32%37%34%
Aces per service game0.260.28
Double faults per game0.240.25
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won7/94/10
Wins in straight sets76%71%
Matches in the sample3945

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carol Young Suh Lee

Maria Sakkari

Elo over the last year

Carol Young Suh LeeMaria Sakkari

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. LeeM. Sakkari
Hard court17–1259%19–1359%
Clay4–450%3–538%
Grass0–20%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Carol Young Suh Lee

Maria Sakkari

First match in this tournament.