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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Sasnovich vs Lee 2:0: result and our tips

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Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA #101Elo 1814hard 1804
2:0final6:2 6:1
Carol Young Suh LeeWTA #153Elo 1719hard 1707

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: SasnovichWon67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sasnovich won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Lee lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Sasnovich 15 of 20, Lee 13 of 20 (tour average 62%)

  • Match Winner: SasnovichWon72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sasnovich won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Lee: 3 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Aliaksandra Sasnovich75%
Carol Young Suh Lee26%

Elo: A. Sasnovich 64% · C. Lee 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Sasnovich52%
2:1 A. Sasnovich21%
2:1 C. Lee13%
2:0 C. Lee14%

First set

Aliaksandra Sasnovich69%
Carol Young Suh Lee31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 48%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%72%
18.565%35%64%
19.557%43%56%
20.550%50%49%
21.545%55%44%
22.538%62%38%
23.534%66%34%

Sample: 1,748 matches

Games handicap

A. Sasnovich −4.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Aliaksandra SasnovichCarol Young Suh Lee
2Aces1
1Double faults4
76%First serves in65%
71%First-serve points won45%
56%Second-serve points won29%
6/8Break points converted1/3
6/7Service games held2/8
68%Service points won40%
60%Return points won32%
54Total points won31

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. SasnovichTourC. Lee
Service points won58%56%58%
Return points won46%44%42%
Service games held67%63%69%
Breaks of serve42%37%32%
Aces per service game0.270.26
Double faults per game0.310.24
Sets with a tie-break10%11%
Tie-breaks won4/147/9
Wins in straight sets76%76%
Matches in the sample6438

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Carol Young Suh Lee

Elo over the last year

Aliaksandra SasnovichCarol Young Suh Lee

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. SasnovichC. Lee
Hard court28–1762%17–1161%
Clay8–657%4–450%
Grass2–340%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Carol Young Suh Lee

See also