Joint vs Sakkari: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Joint: 8 matches in a row over 19.5 games
Other tips
- Tie-break in Match: No75%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sakkari: 11 matches in a row without a tie-break
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Joint 10 of 20, Sakkari 8 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Joint 41% · M. Sakkari 59%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,313 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Joint | Tour | M. Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 62% | 63% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | 34% |
| Aces per service game | 0.17 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/13 | 4/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maya Joint
- 03/11/26WMaddison Inglis#135WTA Hong Kong · R327:5 6:2
- 30/10/26LKamilla Rakhimova#44WTA Tokyo · QF5:7 7:5 1:6
- 28/10/26WCristina Bucsa#43WTA Tokyo · R166:1 2:6 6:4
- 27/10/26WSorana Cirstea#15WTA Tokyo · R326:3 7:6
- 25/10/26WMai Hontama#160WTA Tokyo · Q27:5 6:3
- 24/10/26WViktorija Golubic#89WTA Tokyo · Q16:7 6:4 7:5
- 20/10/26LZeynep Sonmez#67WTA Osaka · R326:3 4:6 3:6
- 18/10/26WKayla Day#121WTA Osaka · Q26:3 3:6 6:3
- 17/10/26WKyoka Okamura#249WTA Osaka · Q16:4 6:2
- 10/10/26LMananchaya Sawangkaew#77WTA Wuhan · Q16:4 2:6 6:7
Maria Sakkari
- 02/11/26WCarol Young Suh Lee#153WTA Hong Kong · R326:1 6:4
- 27/10/26LYulia Putintseva#64WTA Tokyo · R324:6 6:3 1:6
- 16/10/26LMaja Chwalińska#12WTA Wuhan · QF0:6 6:3 5:7
- 15/10/26WMia Pohankova#119WTA Wuhan · R166:1 6:4
- 13/10/26WMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Wuhan · R324:6 6:2 6:2
- 12/10/26WDonna Vekic#39WTA Wuhan · R646:4 6:2
- 05/10/26LElina Svitolina#6WTA Beijing · R324:6 5:7
- 03/10/26WStorm Hunter#161WTA Beijing · R646:2 6:2
- 25/09/26LTalia Gibson#36WTA Singapore · QF1:6 6:4 2:6
- 24/09/26WNao Hibino#195WTA Singapore · R167:5 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Joint | M. Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1755% | 20–1361% |
| Clay | 1–517% | 3–538% |
| Grass | 1–325% | 2–340% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Maya Joint
- 03/11/26WMaddison Inglis#135WTA Hong Kong · R327:5 6:2
Maria Sakkari
- 02/11/26WCarol Young Suh Lee#153WTA Hong Kong · R326:1 6:4