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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Inglis vs Joint 0:2: result and our tips

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Maddison InglisWTA #135Elo 1695hard 1689
0:2final5:7 2:6
Maya JointWTA #90Elo 1813hard 1799

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Inglis: 10 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Inglis: 10 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Joint: 3 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maddison Inglis25%
Maya Joint75%

Elo: M. Inglis 35% · M. Joint 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Inglis14%
2:1 M. Inglis13%
2:1 M. Joint21%
2:0 M. Joint53%

First set

Maddison Inglis30%
Maya Joint70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%72%
18.565%36%64%
19.557%43%56%
20.550%51%49%
21.544%56%44%
22.538%62%38%
23.534%66%34%

Sample: 1,717 matches

Games handicap

M. Joint −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maddison InglisMaya Joint
1Aces2
4Double faults4
73%First serves in64%
51%First-serve points won72%
40%Second-serve points won72%
2/2Break points converted5/11
5/10Service games held8/10
48%Service points won72%
28%Return points won52%
49Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. InglisTourM. Joint
Service points won58%56%55%
Return points won41%44%44%
Service games held67%63%62%
Breaks of serve30%37%36%
Aces per service game0.190.17
Double faults per game0.270.30
Sets with a tie-break13%11%
Tie-breaks won4/97/13
Wins in straight sets53%46%
Matches in the sample2947

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maddison Inglis

Maya Joint

Elo over the last year

Maddison InglisMaya Joint

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. InglisM. Joint
Hard court13–959%20–1754%
Clay0–20%1–517%
Grass2–340%1–325%

Head to head

M. Inglis 0–1 M. Joint

  • 29/12/24Winner: M. Joint3:6 4:6