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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Volynets vs Sasnovich 0:2: result and our tips

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Katie VolynetsWTA #78Elo 1863hard 1831
0:2final3:6 2:6
Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA #101Elo 1822hard 1813

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Volynets: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Volynets: 4 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Katie Volynets43%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich57%

Elo: K. Volynets 53% · A. Sasnovich 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Volynets28%
2:1 K. Volynets18%
2:1 A. Sasnovich20%
2:0 A. Sasnovich34%

First set

Katie Volynets47%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,488 matches

Games handicap

A. Sasnovich −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Katie VolynetsAliaksandra Sasnovich
2Aces2
1Double faults1
68%First serves in66%
55%First-serve points won69%
33%Second-serve points won53%
2/8Break points converted5/9
3/8Service games held7/9
48%Service points won64%
36%Return points won52%
51Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. VolynetsTourA. Sasnovich
Service points won57%56%58%
Return points won48%44%46%
Service games held65%63%67%
Breaks of serve44%37%42%
Aces per service game0.130.27
Double faults per game0.130.31
Sets with a tie-break9%10%
Tie-breaks won9/154/14
Wins in straight sets65%77%
Matches in the sample7065

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Katie Volynets

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Elo over the last year

Katie VolynetsAliaksandra Sasnovich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. VolynetsA. Sasnovich
Hard court23–1659%29–1763%
Clay9–756%8–657%
Grass11–473%2–340%

Head to head

K. Volynets 3–0 A. Sasnovich

  • 05/05/25Winner: K. Volynets2:6 6:3 6:4
  • 13/05/24Winner: K. Volynets7:5 6:3
  • 18/05/23Winner: K. Volynets6:3 6:3

Road through the tournament

Katie Volynets

First match in this tournament.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich