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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Gibson vs Sasnovich: prediction and tips

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Talia GibsonWTA #36Elo 1791hard 1788
-:-awaiting result
Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA #101Elo 1834hard 1825

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Sasnovich58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gibson lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches, Sasnovich won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Sasnovich63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sasnovich won 8 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 24.564%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Gibson: 5 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.531%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sasnovich: 3 matches in a row under 18.5 games; Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Gibson 8 of 20, Sasnovich 11 of 20 (tour average 36%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Talia Gibson35%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich65%

Elo: T. Gibson 45% · A. Sasnovich 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Gibson21%
2:1 T. Gibson16%
2:1 A. Sasnovich22%
2:0 A. Sasnovich42%

First set

Talia Gibson39%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%65%32%

Sample: 2,305 matches

Games handicap

A. Sasnovich −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. GibsonTourA. Sasnovich
Service points won58%56%58%
Return points won42%44%46%
Service games held67%63%67%
Breaks of serve32%37%42%
Aces per service game0.430.27
Double faults per game0.410.31
Sets with a tie-break12%10%
Tie-breaks won10/154/14
Wins in straight sets67%78%
Matches in the sample5366

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Talia Gibson

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Elo over the last year

Talia GibsonAliaksandra Sasnovich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. GibsonA. Sasnovich
Hard court22–1559%30–1764%
Clay3–633%8–657%
Grass2–529%2–340%

Head to head

T. Gibson 0–2 A. Sasnovich

  • 30/09/26Winner: A. Sasnovich1:6 4:6
  • 11/05/26Winner: A. Sasnovich4:6 0:6

Road through the tournament

Talia Gibson

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

See also