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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Gibson vs Oliynykova 2:0: result and our tips

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Talia GibsonWTA #36Elo 1774hard 1775
2:0final7:6(5) 6:1
Oleksandra OliynykovaWTA #62Elo 1722hard 1636

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Oliynykova: 13 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 20.5Won58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Oliynykova: 8 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 17.5Lost34%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Oliynykova: 5 matches in a row under 17.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Talia Gibson84%
Oleksandra Oliynykova16%

Elo: T. Gibson 69% · O. Oliynykova 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Gibson63%
2:1 T. Gibson21%
2:1 O. Oliynykova8%
2:0 O. Oliynykova8%

First set

Talia Gibson78%
Oleksandra Oliynykova23%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%82%
17.565%35%72%
18.556%44%63%
19.548%53%56%
20.540%60%49%
21.537%63%44%
22.532%68%38%

Sample: 1,218 matches

Games handicap

T. Gibson −5.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 19.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Talia GibsonOleksandra Oliynykova
1Aces3
0Double faults5
76%First serves in75%
69%First-serve points won51%
47%Second-serve points won53%
5/8Break points converted2/3
7/9Service games held5/10
64%Service points won52%
48%Return points won37%
69Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. GibsonTourO. Oliynykova
Service points won58%56%54%
Return points won42%44%47%
Service games held66%63%58%
Breaks of serve32%37%45%
Aces per service game0.430.10
Double faults per game0.420.28
Sets with a tie-break11%10%
Tie-breaks won9/148/14
Wins in straight sets65%63%
Matches in the sample5263

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Talia Gibson

Oleksandra Oliynykova

Elo over the last year

Talia GibsonOleksandra Oliynykova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. GibsonO. Oliynykova
Hard court21–1558%8–1142%
Clay3–633%30–1271%
Grass2–529%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.