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ATP ParisMasters 1000Round of 64hard, indoorbest of three sets

Darderi vs Hijikata 0:2: result and our tips

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Luciano DarderiATP #21Elo 1973hard 1889
0:2final2:6 2:6
Rinky HijikataATP #83Elo 1904hard 1868

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 26.5Won65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hijikata: 12 matches in a row under 26.5 games; Under 26.5 games in recent matches: Darderi 15 of 20, Hijikata 18 of 20 (tour average 70%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Darderi: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Darderi 14 of 20, Hijikata 16 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Luciano Darderi45%
Rinky Hijikata55%

Elo: L. Darderi 53% · R. Hijikata 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Darderi26%
2:1 L. Darderi20%
2:1 R. Hijikata21%
2:0 R. Hijikata34%

First set

Luciano Darderi46%
Rinky Hijikata54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.567%33%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.546%54%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.541%60%35%

Sample: 5,717 matches

Games handicap

R. Hijikata −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Luciano DarderiRinky Hijikata
7Aces7
3Double faults0
57%First serves in68%
46%First-serve points won75%
40%Second-serve points won54%
2/3Break points converted6/11
2/8Service games held6/8
43%Service points won68%
32%Return points won57%
38Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. DarderiTourR. Hijikata
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve23%24%22%
Aces per service game0.480.39
Double faults per game0.220.21
Sets with a tie-break17%21%
Tie-breaks won14/2724/40
Wins in straight sets53%59%
Matches in the sample6377

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luciano Darderi

Rinky Hijikata

Elo over the last year

Luciano DarderiRinky Hijikata

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. DarderiR. Hijikata
Hard court13–1448%31–2258%
Clay22–1167%6–746%
Grass1–233%7–464%

Head to head

L. Darderi 2–2 R. Hijikata

  • 15/08/26Winner: R. Hijikata4:6 2:6
  • 07/03/26Winner: R. Hijikata6:4 2:6 4:6
  • 24/08/25Winner: L. Darderi6:2 6:1 6:2
  • 28/05/24Winner: L. Darderi6:3 7:6 6:1

Road through the tournament

Luciano Darderi

First match in this tournament.

Rinky Hijikata