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ATP ParisMasters 1000Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Faria vs Hijikata 0:2: result and our tips

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Jaime FariaATP #57Elo 1901hard 1836
0:2final3:6 4:6
Rinky HijikataATP #83Elo 1881hard 1846

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost68%

Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 68%

Hijikata: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Faria: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jaime Faria46%
Rinky Hijikata54%

Elo: J. Faria 49% · R. Hijikata 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Faria26%
2:1 J. Faria20%
2:1 R. Hijikata21%
2:0 R. Hijikata33%

First set

Jaime Faria47%
Rinky Hijikata53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.567%33%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.554%46%46%
23.547%53%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.540%60%35%
26.535%65%30%

Sample: 5,563 matches

Games handicap

R. Hijikata −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jaime FariaRinky Hijikata
9Aces12
3Double faults1
63%First serves in77%
76%First-serve points won82%
41%Second-serve points won75%
0/1Break points converted2/4
7/9Service games held10/10
63%Service points won80%
20%Return points won37%
47Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. FariaTourR. Hijikata
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held80%76%78%
Breaks of serve24%24%22%
Aces per service game0.550.38
Double faults per game0.380.22
Sets with a tie-break20%21%
Tie-breaks won23/4323/39
Wins in straight sets56%57%
Matches in the sample8175

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jaime Faria

Rinky Hijikata

Elo over the last year

Jaime FariaRinky Hijikata

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. FariaR. Hijikata
Hard court16–1453%29–2257%
Clay29–1566%6–746%
Grass5–271%7–464%

Head to head

They have not met yet.