Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Mayo vs Gray: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 0hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Aidan Mayo62%
Alastair Gray38%
Elo: A. Mayo 76% · A. Gray 24%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Mayo40%
2:1 A. Mayo22%
2:1 A. Gray16%
2:0 A. Gray22%
First set
Aidan Mayo59%
Alastair Gray42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%
Total games
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,979 matches
Games handicap
A. Mayo −2.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes41%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Mayo | Tour | A. Gray | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.57 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/29 | 7/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 42 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Aidan Mayo
- 03/11/26WPyotr Nesterov#286Challenger Charlottesville · R327:5 6:2
- 02/11/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Charlottesville · Q26:4 6:2
- 01/11/26WDuncan Chan#470Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:4 6:4
- 31/10/26LDylan Dietrich#189Challenger Sioux Falls · SF4:6 2:6
- 30/10/26WMees Rottgering#295Challenger Sioux Falls · QF6:3 6:4
- 28/10/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#211Challenger Sioux Falls · R166:2 6:7 7:5
- 27/10/26WHynek Barton#277Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:2 6:3
- 23/10/26LSander Jong#393Challenger Fort Worth · QF6:7 6:0 6:7
- 22/10/26WKaylan Bigun#523Challenger Fort Worth · R161:6 6:0 7:5
- 20/10/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Fort Worth · R326:4 2:6 7:6
Alastair Gray
- 03/11/26WValentin Royer#120Challenger Charlottesville · R326:3 6:4
- 14/09/26LPatrick Maloney#773Challenger Tiburon · R323:6 7:5 6:7
- 31/08/26LMaximus Jones#493Challenger Manacor · Q12:6 5:7
- 25/08/26LGeorge Loffhagen#491Challenger Roehampton 2 · R322:6 6:7
- 19/08/26LGabi Adrian Boitan#468Challenger Roehampton · R166:4 3:6 2:6
- 17/08/26WEmile Hudd#466Challenger Roehampton · R324:6 6:3 6:2
- 21/07/26LAkira Santillan#332Challenger Segovia · R326:2 2:6 3:6
- 14/07/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#399Challenger Pozoblanco · R326:7 2:6
- 11/07/26LClement Chidekh#131Challenger Nottingham 3 · SF5:7 3:6
- 10/07/26WYi Zhou#281Challenger Nottingham 3 · QF6:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Aidan MayoAlastair Gray
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Mayo | A. Gray | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–1861% | 15–1747% |
| Clay | 4–357% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 0–10% | 6–460% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Aidan Mayo
- 01/11/26WDuncan Chan#470Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:4 6:4
- 02/11/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Charlottesville · Q26:4 6:2
- 03/11/26WPyotr Nesterov#286Challenger Charlottesville · R327:5 6:2
Alastair Gray
- 03/11/26WValentin Royer#120Challenger Charlottesville · R326:3 6:4