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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Mayo vs Miyoshi 2:0: result and our tips

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Aidan MayoATP #285Elo 1740hard 1733
2:0final6:4 6:2
Kenta (2004) MiyoshiATP #422Elo 1611hard 1608

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Miyoshi: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: MayoWon63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mayo won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Miyoshi: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Aidan Mayo63%
Kenta (2004) Miyoshi37%

Elo: A. Mayo 67% · K. Miyoshi 33%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Mayo41%
2:1 A. Mayo22%
2:1 K. Miyoshi16%
2:0 K. Miyoshi22%

First set

Aidan Mayo59%
Kenta (2004) Miyoshi41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 54%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,876 matches

Games handicap

A. Mayo −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Aidan MayoKenta (2004) Miyoshi
5Aces3
2Double faults3
76%First serves in60%
82%First-serve points won69%
73%Second-serve points won30%
3/6Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held6/9
80%Service points won53%
47%Return points won20%
63Total points won40

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MayoTourK. Miyoshi
Service points won65%62%63%
Return points won38%38%42%
Service games held83%76%77%
Breaks of serve23%24%30%
Aces per service game0.570.52
Double faults per game0.360.19
Sets with a tie-break23%17%
Tie-breaks won11/299/14
Wins in straight sets70%73%
Matches in the sample5235

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aidan Mayo

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

  • 02/11/26WDominick Mosejczuk#804Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:0 5:7 6:0
  • 25/10/26LGavin Young#530Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 5:7
  • 21/10/26LPatrick Maloney#773Challenger Fort Worth · R160:6 7:6 6:7
  • 20/10/26WMurphy Cassone#283Challenger Fort Worth · R326:4 7:6
  • 19/10/26LSander Jong#393Challenger Fort Worth · Q26:4 6:7 5:7
  • 18/10/26WKeshav Chopra#694Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:3 6:3
  • 22/09/26LLloyd Harris#103ATP Chengdu · Q13:6 5:7
  • 16/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#343Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R167:6 6:7 3:6
  • 14/09/26WMoerani Bouzige#461Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R326:4 6:4
  • 10/09/26LFilip Peliwo#600Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:7 3:6

Elo over the last year

Aidan MayoKenta (2004) Miyoshi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MayoK. Miyoshi
Hard court26–1859%22–1363%
Clay4–357%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Aidan Mayo

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi