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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Mosejczuk vs Miyoshi 1:2: result and our tips

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Dominick MosejczukATP #804Elo 1453hard 1455
1:2final0:6 7:5 0:6
Kenta (2004) MiyoshiATP #422Elo 1597hard 1593

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Miyoshi: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Miyoshi: 4 matches in a row over 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dominick Mosejczuk36%
Kenta (2004) Miyoshi64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Mosejczuk21%
2:1 D. Mosejczuk15%
2:1 K. Miyoshi22%
2:0 K. Miyoshi42%

First set

Dominick Mosejczuk40%
Kenta (2004) Miyoshi60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 5,738 matches

Games handicap

K. Miyoshi −2.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 24 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Dominick MosejczukKenta (2004) Miyoshi
2Aces5
4Double faults2
63%First serves in57%
53%First-serve points won65%
42%Second-serve points won61%
2/2Break points converted7/17
5/12Service games held10/12
49%Service points won63%
37%Return points won51%
69Total points won91

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MosejczukTourK. Miyoshi
Service points won—62%63%
Return points won—38%41%
Service games held—76%77%
Breaks of serve—24%29%
Aces per service game—0.53
Double faults per game—0.19
Sets with a tie-break—17%
Tie-breaks won—9/14
Wins in straight sets—76%
Matches in the sample—34

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dominick Mosejczuk

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

  • 25/10/26LGavin Young#531Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 5:7
  • 21/10/26LPatrick Maloney#774Challenger Fort Worth · R160:6 7:6 6:7
  • 20/10/26WMurphy Cassone#282Challenger Fort Worth · R326:4 7:6
  • 19/10/26LSander Jong#396Challenger Fort Worth · Q26:4 6:7 5:7
  • 18/10/26WKeshav Chopra#694Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:3 6:3
  • 22/09/26LLloyd Harris#108ATP Chengdu · Q13:6 5:7
  • 16/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#338Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R167:6 6:7 3:6
  • 14/09/26WMoerani Bouzige#456Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R326:4 6:4
  • 10/09/26LFilip Peliwo#643Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:7 3:6
  • 08/09/26WMoise Kouame#176Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R324:6 6:4 7:5

Elo over the last year

Dominick MosejczukKenta (2004) Miyoshi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MosejczukK. Miyoshi
Hard court0–10%21–1362%

Head to head

They have not met yet.