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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Mayo vs Chan 2:0: result and our tips

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Aidan MayoATP #285Elo 1730hard 1724
2:0final6:4 6:4
Duncan ChanATP #470Elo 1580hard 1564

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: MayoWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mayo won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Chan lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: MayoWon71%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mayo won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Chan: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games; Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Mayo 9 of 20, Chan 10 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Aidan Mayo70%
Duncan Chan30%

Elo: A. Mayo 72% · D. Chan 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Mayo48%
2:1 A. Mayo22%
2:1 D. Chan13%
2:0 D. Chan17%

First set

Aidan Mayo65%
Duncan Chan35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 4,782 matches

Games handicap

A. Mayo −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Aidan MayoDuncan Chan
4Aces2
3Double faults2
61%First serves in66%
77%First-serve points won65%
55%Second-serve points won52%
3/5Break points converted1/1
9/10Service games held7/10
68%Service points won61%
39%Return points won32%
63Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MayoTourD. Chan
Service points won65%62%60%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held82%76%74%
Breaks of serve23%24%25%
Aces per service game0.570.35
Double faults per game0.360.32
Sets with a tie-break23%16%
Tie-breaks won11/294/8
Wins in straight sets69%46%
Matches in the sample5120

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aidan Mayo

Duncan Chan

  • 25/10/26LBenjamin Willwerth#779Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:7 5:7
  • 19/10/26LGavin Young#530Challenger Fort Worth · Q26:4 1:6 4:6
  • 18/10/26WRoger Pascual Ferra#690Challenger Fort Worth · Q17:6 2:6 6:3
  • 29/09/26LColton Smith#218Challenger Columbus · R322:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WKeaton Hance#765Challenger Columbus · Q26:3 6:2
  • 27/09/26WDenis PetakChallenger Columbus · Q16:7 6:3 7:6
  • 19/08/26LTaro Daniel#178Challenger Quebec City · R323:6 2:6
  • 04/08/26LThiago Agustin Tirante#53ATP Montreal · R1283:6 6:1 6:7
  • 01/08/26WHugo Gaston#109ATP Montreal · Q12:6 7:5 6:3
  • 28/07/26LDane Sweeny#114Challenger Vancouver · R324:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Aidan MayoDuncan Chan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MayoD. Chan
Hard court25–1858%11–955%
Clay4–357%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.