Mayo vs Nesterov 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Mayo won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Nesterov lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: MayoWon72%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Mayo won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Mayo: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Mayo 66% · P. Nesterov 34%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 4,113 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 21.0out · 20 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Aidan Mayo | Pyotr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 1 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 57% | First serves in | 59% |
| 88% | First-serve points won | 59% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 55% |
| 3/4 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 10/10 | Service games held | 7/10 |
| 74% | Service points won | 57% |
| 43% | Return points won | 26% |
| 66 | Total points won | 46 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Mayo | Tour | P. Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.57 | 0.35 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/29 | 8/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 53 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Aidan Mayo
- 02/11/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Charlottesville · Q26:4 6:2
- 01/11/26WDuncan Chan#470Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:4 6:4
- 31/10/26LDylan Dietrich#189Challenger Sioux Falls · SF4:6 2:6
- 30/10/26WMees Rottgering#295Challenger Sioux Falls · QF6:3 6:4
- 28/10/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#211Challenger Sioux Falls · R166:2 6:7 7:5
- 27/10/26WHynek Barton#277Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:2 6:3
- 23/10/26LSander Jong#393Challenger Fort Worth · QF6:7 6:0 6:7
- 22/10/26WKaylan Bigun#523Challenger Fort Worth · R161:6 6:0 7:5
- 20/10/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Fort Worth · R326:4 2:6 7:6
- 02/10/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#311Challenger Columbus · QF6:7 5:7
Pyotr Nesterov
- 11/10/26LChristian Langmo#508Challenger Olbia · Q12:6 1:6
- 08/10/26LPablo Llamas Ruiz#141Challenger Villena · R166:3 6:7 3:6
- 06/10/26WCarles Hernandez#749Challenger Villena · R326:3 7:6
- 05/10/26WHynek Barton#277Challenger Villena · Q23:6 6:4 6:1
- 04/10/26WCharles ChenChallenger Villena · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
- 29/09/26LGoncalo Marques#583Challenger Porto 2 · R325:7 6:1 4:6
- 28/09/26WMarko ToPo#344Challenger Porto 2 · Q26:4 6:2
- 27/09/26WGiorgio Tabacco#617Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:3
- 22/09/26LCarlos Taberner#462Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 6:1 0:6
- 01/09/26LYanaki Milev#527Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R326:7 6:3 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Mayo | P. Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 27–1860% | 12–763% |
| Clay | 4–357% | 15–1060% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Aidan Mayo
- 01/11/26WDuncan Chan#470Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:4 6:4
- 02/11/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Charlottesville · Q26:4 6:2
Pyotr Nesterov
First match in this tournament.