Gray vs Royer 2:0: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 66%
Gray: 8 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Gray 15 of 20, Royer 14 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: RoyerLost73%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Gray lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Gray 20% · V. Royer 80%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 35% |
Sample: 4,354 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Alastair Gray | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 2 |
| 4 | Double faults | 2 |
| 47% | First serves in | 60% |
| 81% | First-serve points won | 68% |
| 66% | Second-serve points won | 39% |
| 3/7 | Break points converted | 1/4 |
| 9/10 | Service games held | 6/9 |
| 73% | Service points won | 56% |
| 44% | Return points won | 27% |
| 65 | Total points won | 47 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Gray | Tour | V. Royer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.58 | 0.44 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/19 | 12/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 41 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alastair Gray
- 14/09/26LPatrick Maloney#773Challenger Tiburon · R323:6 7:5 6:7
- 31/08/26LMaximus Jones#493Challenger Manacor · Q12:6 5:7
- 25/08/26LGeorge Loffhagen#491Challenger Roehampton 2 · R322:6 6:7
- 19/08/26LGabi Adrian Boitan#468Challenger Roehampton · R166:4 3:6 2:6
- 17/08/26WEmile Hudd#466Challenger Roehampton · R324:6 6:3 6:2
- 21/07/26LAkira Santillan#332Challenger Segovia · R326:2 2:6 3:6
- 14/07/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#399Challenger Pozoblanco · R326:7 2:6
- 11/07/26LClement Chidekh#131Challenger Nottingham 3 · SF5:7 3:6
- 10/07/26WYi Zhou#281Challenger Nottingham 3 · QF6:3 6:4
- 08/07/26WPatrick Brady#677Challenger Nottingham 3 · R166:1 6:1
Valentin Royer
- 29/10/26LSebastian Dominko#456Challenger Sioux Falls · R165:7 5:7
- 27/10/26WTimo Legout#338Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 7:6
- 18/10/26LClement Tabur#156ATP Lyon · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
- 14/10/26LStefano Travaglia#159Challenger Olbia · R162:6 5:7
- 13/10/26WMathys Erhard#374Challenger Olbia · R327:6 6:0
- 08/10/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 1:6
- 28/09/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#37ATP Beijing · Q16:4 2:6 4:6
- 26/09/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Hangzhou · R166:7 3:6
- 23/09/26WAdam Walton#98ATP Hangzhou · R326:3 6:4
- 31/08/26LDalibor Svrcina#119ATP US Open · R1284:6 3:6 7:5 7:5 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Gray | V. Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1745% | 11–2035% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 13–1154% |
| Grass | 6–460% | 1–233% |
Head to head
A. Gray 0–1 V. Royer
- 03/01/24Winner: V. Royer7:6 1:6 3:6