Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Dominko vs Royer: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 1hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Sebastian Dominko32%
Valentin Royer68%
Elo: S. Dominko 25% · V. Royer 75%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Dominko18%
2:1 S. Dominko14%
2:1 V. Royer22%
2:0 V. Royer46%
First set
Sebastian Dominko37%
Valentin Royer63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 61% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,110 matches
Games handicap
V. Royer −3.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Dominko | Tour | V. Royer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.77 | 0.43 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.37 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/2 | 12/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 4 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sebastian Dominko
- 27/10/26WKarl Poling#453Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:4 7:6
- 26/10/26WBenjamin Willwerth#812Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:5 6:3
- 25/10/26WJustin Boulais#428Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 6:3 6:4
- 11/10/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Olbia · Q16:7 1:6
- 16/09/25LAndre Ilagan#199Challenger Columbus · R323:6 6:3 4:6
- 15/09/25WDaniel Milavsky#312Challenger Columbus · Q26:1 6:3
- 14/09/25WEdward Winter#406Challenger Columbus · Q13:6 6:4 6:4
- 10/08/25LGabriele Bosio#639Challenger Todi · Q16:3 3:6 4:6
- 03/08/25LMax Alcala Gurri#133Challenger Cordenons · Q14:6 2:6
- 21/07/25LHynek Barton#275Challenger Tampere · Q24:6 3:6
Valentin Royer
- 27/10/26WTimo Legout#343Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 7:6
- 18/10/26LClement Tabur#161ATP Lyon · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
- 14/10/26LStefano Travaglia#167Challenger Olbia · R162:6 5:7
- 13/10/26WMathys Erhard#373Challenger Olbia · R327:6 6:0
- 08/10/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 1:6
- 28/09/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#37ATP Beijing · Q16:4 2:6 4:6
- 26/09/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Hangzhou · R166:7 3:6
- 23/09/26WAdam Walton#98ATP Hangzhou · R326:3 6:4
- 31/08/26LDalibor Svrcina#120ATP US Open · R1284:6 3:6 7:5 7:5 2:6
- 22/08/26WPedro Martinez#126Challenger Kingston · F6:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Sebastian DominkoValentin Royer
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Dominko | V. Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–175% | 11–2035% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 13–1154% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 1–233% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Sebastian Dominko
- 25/10/26WJustin Boulais#428Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 6:3 6:4
- 26/10/26WBenjamin Willwerth#812Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:5 6:3
- 27/10/26WKarl Poling#453Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:4 7:6
Valentin Royer
- 27/10/26WTimo Legout#343Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 7:6