Dominko vs Poling 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Poling lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Dominko 64% · K. Poling 36%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,099 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.5out · 23 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Sebastian Dominko | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Aces | 1 |
| 3 | Double faults | 2 |
| 68% | First serves in | 62% |
| 90% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 78% | Second-serve points won | 54% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 11/11 | Service games held | 10/11 |
| 86% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 14% |
| 74 | Total points won | 55 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Dominko | Tour | K. Poling | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.66 | 0.21 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.39 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/1 | 9/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 3 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sebastian Dominko
- 26/10/26WBenjamin Willwerth#812Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:5 6:3
- 25/10/26WJustin Boulais#428Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 6:3 6:4
- 11/10/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Olbia · Q16:7 1:6
- 16/09/25LAndre Ilagan#199Challenger Columbus · R323:6 6:3 4:6
- 15/09/25WDaniel Milavsky#312Challenger Columbus · Q26:1 6:3
- 14/09/25WEdward Winter#406Challenger Columbus · Q13:6 6:4 6:4
- 10/08/25LGabriele Bosio#639Challenger Todi · Q16:3 3:6 4:6
- 03/08/25LMax Alcala Gurri#133Challenger Cordenons · Q14:6 2:6
- 21/07/25LHynek Barton#275Challenger Tampere · Q24:6 3:6
- 20/07/25WMartin Krumich#289Challenger Tampere · Q16:1 6:4
Karl Poling
- 26/10/26WPatrick Zahraj#523Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:6 7:6
- 25/10/26WMaxwell Exsted#888Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:3 6:2
- 18/10/26LAlex Rybakov#636Challenger Fort Worth · Q14:6 4:6
- 27/09/26LPatrick Zahraj#523Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:3 3:6 2:6
- 22/09/26LTitouan Droguet#72Challenger Saint Tropez · R327:6 4:6 6:7
- 21/09/26LMoez Echargui#350Challenger Saint Tropez · Q24:6 6:7
- 20/09/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#529Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:2 6:1
- 13/09/26LNikola Slavic#863Challenger Rennes · Q16:7 7:6 6:7
- 25/08/26LThomas Fancutt#692Challenger Kingston 2 · R324:6 3:6
- 17/08/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#132Challenger Quebec City · Q16:3 3:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Dominko | K. Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–167% | 16–2044% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 6–367% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Sebastian Dominko
- 25/10/26WJustin Boulais#428Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 6:3 6:4
- 26/10/26WBenjamin Willwerth#812Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:5 6:3
Karl Poling
- 25/10/26WMaxwell Exsted#888Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:3 6:2
- 26/10/26WPatrick Zahraj#523Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:6 7:6