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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Dominko vs Willwerth 2:0: result and our tips

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Sebastian DominkoATP #554Elo 1492hard 1532
2:0final7:5 6:3
Benjamin WillwerthATP #812Elo 1427hard 1435

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: DominkoWon65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Willwerth lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sebastian Dominko65%
Benjamin Willwerth35%

Elo: S. Dominko 64% · B. Willwerth 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Dominko42%
2:1 S. Dominko22%
2:1 B. Willwerth15%
2:0 B. Willwerth21%

First set

Sebastian Dominko61%
Benjamin Willwerth40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%42%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 5,596 matches

Games handicap

S. Dominko −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Sebastian DominkoBenjamin Willwerth
10Aces2
2Double faults3
61%First serves in66%
100%First-serve points won70%
74%Second-serve points won46%
2/16Break points converted0/0
11/11Service games held8/10
90%Service points won61%
39%Return points won10%
71Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. DominkoTourB. Willwerth
Service points won—62%59%
Return points won—38%38%
Service games held—76%71%
Breaks of serve—24%21%
Aces per service game—0.26
Double faults per game—0.18
Sets with a tie-break—28%
Tie-breaks won—3/7
Wins in straight sets—100%
Matches in the sample—10

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sebastian Dominko

  • 25/10/26WJustin Boulais#428Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 6:3 6:4
  • 11/10/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Olbia · Q16:7 1:6
  • 16/09/25LAndre Ilagan#199Challenger Columbus · R323:6 6:3 4:6
  • 15/09/25WDaniel Milavsky#312Challenger Columbus · Q26:1 6:3
  • 14/09/25WEdward Winter#406Challenger Columbus · Q13:6 6:4 6:4
  • 10/08/25LGabriele Bosio#639Challenger Todi · Q16:3 3:6 4:6
  • 03/08/25LMax Alcala Gurri#133Challenger Cordenons · Q14:6 2:6
  • 21/07/25LHynek Barton#275Challenger Tampere · Q24:6 3:6
  • 20/07/25WMartin Krumich#289Challenger Tampere · Q16:1 6:4
  • 13/08/23LSamuel Vincent Ruggeri#646Challenger Todi · Q13:6 1:6

Benjamin Willwerth

  • 25/10/26WDuncan Chan#467Challenger Sioux Falls · Q17:6 7:5
  • 26/08/26LAidan Mayo#321Challenger Kingston 2 · R164:6 6:2 4:6
  • 24/08/26WJohn ChinChallenger Kingston 2 · R326:4 6:4
  • 18/08/26LGonzalo Bueno#197Challenger Kingston · R326:3 2:6 2:6
  • 16/06/26LYi Zhou#256Challenger Dublin · R323:6 7:6 2:6
  • 16/03/26LLuca Van Assche#46ATP Miami · Q13:6 1:6
  • 14/02/26LSho Shimabukuro#106ATP Delray Beach · Q14:6 6:7
  • 11/02/26LTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Tenerife 2 · R326:2 0:6 6:7
  • 02/02/26LPablo Llamas Ruiz#140Challenger Tenerife · R322:6 2:6
  • 02/11/25LMax Wiskandt#377Challenger Knoxville · Q17:6 6:7 6:7

Elo over the last year

Sebastian DominkoBenjamin Willwerth

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. DominkoB. Willwerth
Hard court1–150%2–722%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sebastian Dominko

Benjamin Willwerth