Skip to content
Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Willwerth vs Chan 2:0: result and our tips

·

Benjamin WillwerthATP #812Elo 1360hard 1367
2:0final7:6(5) 7:5
Duncan ChanATP #467Elo 1636hard 1619

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: ChanLost65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Willwerth lost 8 of the last 9 matches

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Willwerth 5 of 9, Chan 9 of 19 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Benjamin Willwerth35%
Duncan Chan65%

Elo: B. Willwerth 19% · D. Chan 81%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Willwerth21%
2:1 B. Willwerth15%
2:1 D. Chan22%
2:0 D. Chan42%

First set

Benjamin Willwerth40%
Duncan Chan60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.552%49%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,582 matches

Games handicap

D. Chan −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Benjamin WillwerthDuncan Chan
1Aces5
2Double faults5
58%First serves in59%
67%First-serve points won61%
53%Second-serve points won41%
5/13Break points converted4/5
8/12Service games held7/12
61%Service points won53%
47%Return points won39%
89Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. WillwerthTourD. Chan
Service points won59%62%60%
Return points won37%38%39%
Service games held71%76%75%
Breaks of serve20%24%25%
Aces per service game0.270.35
Double faults per game0.180.32
Sets with a tie-break26%15%
Tie-breaks won2/64/7
Wins in straight sets100%46%
Matches in the sample919

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Benjamin Willwerth

  • 26/08/26LAidan Mayo#321Challenger Kingston 2 · R164:6 6:2 4:6
  • 24/08/26WJohn ChinChallenger Kingston 2 · R326:4 6:4
  • 18/08/26LGonzalo Bueno#197Challenger Kingston · R326:3 2:6 2:6
  • 16/06/26LYi Zhou#256Challenger Dublin · R323:6 7:6 2:6
  • 16/03/26LLuca Van Assche#46ATP Miami · Q13:6 1:6
  • 14/02/26LSho Shimabukuro#106ATP Delray Beach · Q14:6 6:7
  • 11/02/26LTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Tenerife 2 · R326:2 0:6 6:7
  • 02/02/26LPablo Llamas Ruiz#140Challenger Tenerife · R322:6 2:6
  • 02/11/25LMax Wiskandt#377Challenger Knoxville · Q17:6 6:7 6:7
  • 19/08/25LOtto Virtanen#121ATP US Open · Q17:6 3:6 2:6

Duncan Chan

  • 19/10/26LGavin Young#531Challenger Fort Worth · Q26:4 1:6 4:6
  • 18/10/26WRoger Pascual Ferra#690Challenger Fort Worth · Q17:6 2:6 6:3
  • 29/09/26LColton Smith#218Challenger Columbus · R322:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WKeaton Hance#766Challenger Columbus · Q26:3 6:2
  • 27/09/26WDenis PetakChallenger Columbus · Q16:7 6:3 7:6
  • 19/08/26LTaro Daniel#177Challenger Quebec City · R323:6 2:6
  • 04/08/26LThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Montreal · R1283:6 6:1 6:7
  • 01/08/26WHugo Gaston#110ATP Montreal · Q12:6 7:5 6:3
  • 28/07/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Vancouver · R324:6 1:6
  • 23/07/26LShintaro Mochizuki#129Challenger Winnipeg · R162:6 6:2 4:6

Elo over the last year

Benjamin WillwerthDuncan Chan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. WillwerthD. Chan
Hard court1–713%11–858%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.