Poling vs Exsted 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,923 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 21.5out · 17 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Karl Poling | Maxwell Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 10 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 64% | First serves in | 63% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 75% |
| 68% | Second-serve points won | 21% |
| 3/12 | Break points converted | 0/3 |
| 9/9 | Service games held | 5/8 |
| 74% | Service points won | 55% |
| 45% | Return points won | 26% |
| 68 | Total points won | 49 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Poling | Tour | M. Exsted | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | — |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | — |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | — |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | — |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | — | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | — | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | — | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/24 | — | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | — | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | — |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Karl Poling
- 18/10/26LAlex Rybakov#636Challenger Fort Worth · Q14:6 4:6
- 27/09/26LPatrick Zahraj#523Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:3 3:6 2:6
- 22/09/26LTitouan Droguet#72Challenger Saint Tropez · R327:6 4:6 6:7
- 21/09/26LMoez Echargui#350Challenger Saint Tropez · Q24:6 6:7
- 20/09/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#529Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:2 6:1
- 13/09/26LNikola Slavic#863Challenger Rennes · Q16:7 7:6 6:7
- 25/08/26LThomas Fancutt#692Challenger Kingston 2 · R324:6 3:6
- 17/08/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#132Challenger Quebec City · Q16:3 3:6 2:6
- 02/08/26LAidan Kim#634Challenger Lexington · Q12:6 4:6
- 28/07/26LTyler Zink#442Challenger Vancouver · Q26:3 3:6 5:7
Maxwell Exsted
- 13/09/26LLuca Staeheli#430Challenger Tiburon · Q16:4 4:6 3:6
- 19/10/25LAntoine Ghibaudo#489Challenger Sioux Falls · Q14:6 5:7
- 20/10/24LAntoine Ghibaudo#489Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Poling | M. Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–2041% | 0–10% |
| Clay | 6–367% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.