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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Finalclaybest of three sets

Aguilar Cardozo vs Dellien 0:1: result and our tips

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Joaquin Aguilar CardozoATP #288Elo 1803clay 1812
0:1retired5:7 0:1
Hugo DellienATP #107Elo 1865clay 1882

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.559%

Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 59%

Dellien: 9 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Aguilar Cardozo 14 of 20, Dellien 16 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.562%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Aguilar Cardozo 15 of 20, Dellien 17 of 20 (tour average 66%); Dellien: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Match Winner: Dellien63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dellien won 8 of the last 10 matches; Dellien: 4 wins in a row

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.548%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 48%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Aguilar Cardozo 12 of 20, Dellien 13 of 20 (tour average 48%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo37%
Hugo Dellien63%

Elo: J. Aguilar Cardozo 40% · H. Dellien 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Aguilar Cardozo21%
2:1 J. Aguilar Cardozo16%
2:1 H. Dellien23%
2:0 H. Dellien41%

First set

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo40%
Hugo Dellien61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%76%
18.565%35%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.553%48%52%
21.545%55%46%
22.541%59%40%
23.539%62%36%

Sample: 4,759 matches

Games handicap

H. Dellien −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

Match stats

Joaquin Aguilar CardozoHugo Dellien
—Aces—
1Double faults0
61%First serves in80%
68%First-serve points won71%
31%Second-serve points won50%
1/1Break points converted2/6
4/6Service games held6/7
54%Service points won67%
33%Return points won46%
35Total points won45

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Aguilar CardozoTourH. Dellien
Service points won59%62%62%
Return points won45%38%42%
Service games held71%76%76%
Breaks of serve39%24%33%
Aces per service game0.120.25
Double faults per game0.230.14
Sets with a tie-break14%7%
Tie-breaks won5/138/13
Wins in straight sets64%71%
Matches in the sample3779

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Hugo Dellien

Elo over the last year

Joaquin Aguilar CardozoHugo Dellien

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Aguilar CardozoH. Dellien
Hard court0–01–420%
Clay25–1366%51–2270%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Hugo Dellien

Upcoming matches

See also