Borges vs Khachanov: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Borges lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Khachanov won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: N. Borges 47% · K. Khachanov 53%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 69% | 31% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 56% | 44% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 65% | 30% |
Sample: 5,523 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Borges | Tour | K. Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.54 | 0.55 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/31 | 11/34 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 46% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 51 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nuno Borges
- 03/11/26WMoise Kouame#132ATP Paris · R646:3 6:1
- 01/11/26LAlex Molcan#78ATP Paris · Q26:7 2:6
- 31/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Paris · Q14:6 6:1 7:5
- 30/10/26LJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Basel · QF2:6 3:6
- 28/10/26WCasper Ruud#23ATP Basel · R161:6 6:3 6:4
- 26/10/26WMika Brunold#184ATP Basel · R326:3 6:1
- 10/10/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP Shanghai · R643:6 6:3 3:6
- 08/10/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#72ATP Shanghai · R1287:6 6:2
- 30/09/26LNovak Djokovic#11ATP Beijing · R323:6 6:7
- 31/08/26LLearner Tien#19ATP US Open · R1284:6 1:6 2:6
Karen Khachanov
- 02/11/26WDenis Shapovalov#51ATP Paris · R646:3 6:7 1:4
- 27/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Vienna · R324:6 6:7
- 23/10/26LAlexander Bublik#26ATP Almaty · QF6:4 6:7 6:7
- 22/10/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP Almaty · R166:2 4:6 7:6
- 20/10/26WRei Sakamoto#123ATP Almaty · R326:2 6:4
- 13/10/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP Shanghai · R163:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Shanghai · R326:2 6:4
- 09/10/26WArthur Fery#32ATP Shanghai · R647:6 6:7 7:6
- 04/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#29ATP Beijing · QF6:7 2:6
- 02/10/26WAlex Molcan#78ATP Beijing · R167:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Borges | K. Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1654% | 19–1556% |
| Clay | 9–950% | 7–654% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 2–250% |
Head to head
N. Borges 0–2 K. Khachanov
- 04/07/25Winner: K. Khachanov6:7 6:4 6:4 3:6 6:7
- 22/05/22Winner: K. Khachanov3:6 6:2 4:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Nuno Borges
- 31/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Paris · Q14:6 6:1 7:5
- 01/11/26LAlex Molcan#78ATP Paris · Q26:7 2:6
- 03/11/26WMoise Kouame#132ATP Paris · R646:3 6:1
Karen Khachanov
- 02/11/26WDenis Shapovalov#51ATP Paris · R646:3 6:7 1:4