Khachanov vs Alcaraz 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Khachanov lost 0-2 in 5 of the last 20 matches, Alcaraz won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 32%); Alcaraz won 2-0 in 3 of their 5 head-to-head matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Khachanov 11% · C. Alcaraz 89%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 77% | 23% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 67% | 38% |
Sample: 2,723 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 22.0out · 23 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Karen Khachanov | Carlos Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 3 |
| 0 | Double faults | 3 |
| 64% | First serves in | 68% |
| 62% | First-serve points won | 80% |
| 41% | Second-serve points won | 38% |
| 2/2 | Break points converted | 3/9 |
| 8/11 | Service games held | 9/11 |
| 54% | Service points won | 66% |
| 34% | Return points won | 46% |
| 71 | Total points won | 84 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Khachanov | Tour | C. Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 87% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/32 | 13/23 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | 43 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Karen Khachanov
- 23/10/26LAlexander Bublik#26ATP Almaty · QF6:4 6:7 6:7
- 22/10/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP Almaty · R166:2 4:6 7:6
- 20/10/26WRei Sakamoto#123ATP Almaty · R326:2 6:4
- 13/10/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP Shanghai · R163:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Shanghai · R326:2 6:4
- 09/10/26WArthur Fery#32ATP Shanghai · R647:6 6:7 7:6
- 04/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#29ATP Beijing · QF6:7 2:6
- 02/10/26WAlex Molcan#78ATP Beijing · R167:5 6:3
- 30/09/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#13ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:3
- 11/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · SF3:6 6:7 6:7
Carlos Alcaraz
- 12/10/26LZizou Bergs#40ATP Shanghai · R325:7 6:7
- 10/10/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Shanghai · R646:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WJiří Lehečka#15ATP Tokyo · F7:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WJaume Munar#65ATP Tokyo · SF5:7 6:3 6:1
- 04/10/26WDenis Shapovalov#51ATP Tokyo · QF7:6 2:1
- 03/10/26WMatteo Arnaldi#36ATP Tokyo · R167:6 6:1
- 01/10/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Tokyo · R327:6 4:6 6:1
- 09/09/26LBen Shelton#4ATP US Open · QF7:6 1:6 3:6 6:1 6:7
- 06/09/26WTommy Paul#14ATP US Open · R166:4 6:3 6:4
- 04/09/26WYibing Wu#105ATP US Open · R326:3 6:4 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Khachanov | C. Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1557% | 31–684% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 5–183% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–0 |
Head to head
K. Khachanov 0–6 C. Alcaraz
- 19/02/26Winner: C. Alcaraz7:6 4:6 3:6
- 13/05/25Winner: C. Alcaraz3:6 6:3 5:7
- 30/09/24Winner: C. Alcaraz5:7 2:6
- 03/05/23Winner: C. Alcaraz4:6 5:7
- 22/07/22Winner: C. Alcaraz0:6 2:6
- 29/05/22Winner: C. Alcaraz1:6 4:6 4:6