Borges vs Ruud: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ruud won the first set in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 24.560%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Borges 14 of 20, Ruud 16 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: N. Borges 38% · C. Ruud 62%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 55% | 45% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 35% | 65% | 30% |
Sample: 5,284 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Borges | Tour | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.54 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/31 | 9/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nuno Borges
- 26/10/26WMika Brunold#191ATP Basel · R326:3 6:1
- 10/10/26LJiří Lehečka#21ATP Shanghai · R643:6 6:3 3:6
- 08/10/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#70ATP Shanghai · R1287:6 6:2
- 30/09/26LNovak Djokovic#12ATP Beijing · R323:6 6:7
- 31/08/26LLearner Tien#18ATP US Open · R1284:6 1:6 2:6
- 19/08/26LBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Cincinnati · R163:6 7:6 3:6
- 18/08/26WAndrey Rublev#22ATP Cincinnati · R326:3 6:4
- 16/08/26WFrancisco Cerúndolo#19ATP Cincinnati · R646:4 6:4
- 14/08/26WThanasi Kokkinakis#413ATP Cincinnati · R1285:7 7:6 7:6
- 08/08/26LLuciano Darderi#23ATP Montreal · R166:4 3:6 5:7
Casper Ruud
- 26/10/26WDominic Stricker#253ATP Basel · R324:6 7:5 6:3
- 16/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Shanghai · QF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 14/10/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#7ATP Shanghai · R165:2
- 12/10/26WLearner Tien#18ATP Shanghai · R326:4 7:6
- 10/10/26WYunchaokete Bu#92ATP Shanghai · R646:1 7:6
- 01/10/26LLuciano Darderi#23ATP Tokyo · R326:7 3:6
- 16/08/26LChristopher O'Connell#118ATP Cincinnati · R645:7 2:1
- 07/08/26LJoao Fonseca#40ATP Montreal · R326:7 3:6
- 05/08/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Montreal · R646:1 6:2
- 17/07/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Gstaad · QF6:3 5:7 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Borges | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1455% | 11–1150% |
| Clay | 9–950% | 17–674% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 0–10% |
Head to head
N. Borges 1–2 C. Ruud
- 31/07/25Winner: C. Ruud5:7 4:6
- 28/05/25Winner: N. Borges2:6 6:4 6:1 6:0
- 22/02/24Winner: C. Ruud3:6 2:6
Road through the tournament
Nuno Borges
- 26/10/26WMika Brunold#191ATP Basel · R326:3 6:1
Casper Ruud
- 26/10/26WDominic Stricker#253ATP Basel · R324:6 7:5 6:3