Stricker vs Ruud 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Stricker 17 of 20, Ruud 16 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost64%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Stricker 16 of 20, Ruud 15 of 20 (tour average 64%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 46% → with the players' profiles 43%
Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Stricker 14 of 20, Ruud 12 of 20 (tour average 46%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: D. Stricker 20% · C. Ruud 80%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 4,796 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.5in · 31 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Dominic Stricker | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Aces | 12 |
| 1 | Double faults | 0 |
| 60% | First serves in | 69% |
| 80% | First-serve points won | 83% |
| 76% | Second-serve points won | 62% |
| 1/2 | Break points converted | 2/3 |
| 13/15 | Service games held | 15/16 |
| 78% | Service points won | 76% |
| 24% | Return points won | 22% |
| 77 | Total points won | 79 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Stricker | Tour | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.53 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/14 | 9/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Dominic Stricker
- 15/10/26WOtto Virtanen#121Challenger Roanne · R167:5 5:7 6:3
- 14/10/26WPhilip Henning#248Challenger Roanne · R326:2 6:3
- 07/10/26LLaslo Djere#136Challenger Villena · R321:6 5:7
- 05/10/26WMarko ToPo#337Challenger Villena · Q26:2 6:2
- 04/10/26WEnrique Carrascosa DiazChallenger Villena · Q16:3 7:5
- 01/10/26LHenry Bernet#361Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R161:6 6:7
- 30/09/26WLiam Broady#231Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:4 3:6 6:1
- 25/08/26LMartin Krumich#289Challenger Augsburg · R322:6 3:6
- 22/08/26WBenjamin Hassan#465Challenger Sion · F6:1 2:6 6:2
- 21/08/26WTommaso Compagnucci#371Challenger Sion · SF6:2 6:2
Casper Ruud
- 16/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Shanghai · QF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 14/10/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#7ATP Shanghai · R165:2
- 12/10/26WLearner Tien#18ATP Shanghai · R326:4 7:6
- 10/10/26WYunchaokete Bu#92ATP Shanghai · R646:1 7:6
- 01/10/26LLuciano Darderi#23ATP Tokyo · R326:7 3:6
- 16/08/26LChristopher O'Connell#118ATP Cincinnati · R645:7 2:1
- 07/08/26LJoao Fonseca#40ATP Montreal · R326:7 3:6
- 05/08/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Montreal · R646:1 6:2
- 17/07/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Gstaad · QF6:3 5:7 2:6
- 16/07/26WJaime Faria#57ATP Gstaad · R166:7 6:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Stricker | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–370% | 10–1148% |
| Clay | 18–967% | 17–674% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
D. Stricker 1–1 C. Ruud
- 16/07/25Winner: C. Ruud5:7 6:7
- 26/10/23Winner: D. Stricker6:4 3:6 7:6