ATP ParisMasters 1000Round of 64hard, indoorbest of three sets
Borges vs Kouame 2:0: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Nuno Borges58%
Moise Kouame42%
Elo: N. Borges 71% · M. Kouame 29%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 N. Borges36%
2:1 N. Borges21%
2:1 M. Kouame19%
2:0 M. Kouame24%
First set
Nuno Borges56%
Moise Kouame44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 67% | 33% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 6,024 matches
Games handicap
N. Borges −1.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes45%
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.5out · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Nuno Borges | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 6 |
| 0 | Double faults | 3 |
| 68% | First serves in | 60% |
| 81% | First-serve points won | 58% |
| 53% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 4/9 | Break points converted | 0/2 |
| 8/8 | Service games held | 4/8 |
| 72% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 28% |
| 59 | Total points won | 40 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Borges | Tour | M. Kouame | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.54 | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.39 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/31 | 6/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nuno Borges
- 01/11/26LAlex Molcan#78ATP Paris · Q26:7 2:6
- 31/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Paris · Q14:6 6:1 7:5
- 30/10/26LJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Basel · QF2:6 3:6
- 28/10/26WCasper Ruud#23ATP Basel · R161:6 6:3 6:4
- 26/10/26WMika Brunold#184ATP Basel · R326:3 6:1
- 10/10/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP Shanghai · R643:6 6:3 3:6
- 08/10/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#72ATP Shanghai · R1287:6 6:2
- 30/09/26LNovak Djokovic#11ATP Beijing · R323:6 6:7
- 31/08/26LLearner Tien#19ATP US Open · R1284:6 1:6 2:6
- 19/08/26LBrandon Nakashima#18ATP Cincinnati · R163:6 7:6 3:6
Moise Kouame
- 01/11/26WMartin Damm Jr#102Challenger Brest · F6:4 6:7 7:6
- 31/10/26WOtto Virtanen#116Challenger Brest · SF6:1 6:2
- 30/10/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#176Challenger Brest · QF6:3 6:4
- 29/10/26WHugo Gaston#109Challenger Brest · R167:5 2:1
- 27/10/26WHugo Grenier#394Challenger Brest · R326:4 7:6
- 21/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#24ATP Lyon · R164:6 4:6
- 19/10/26WLorenzo Sonego#106ATP Lyon · R327:6 6:4
- 15/10/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#182Challenger Roanne · R164:6 2:6
- 13/10/26WDiego Dedura#188Challenger Roanne · R326:1 6:4
- 30/09/26LAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · R321:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Nuno BorgesMoise Kouame
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Borges | M. Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–1653% | 20–1557% |
| Clay | 9–950% | 2–722% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 0–0 |
Head to head
N. Borges 1–0 M. Kouame
- 14/07/26Winner: N. Borges6:4 6:2
Road through the tournament
Nuno Borges
- 31/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Paris · Q14:6 6:1 7:5
- 01/11/26LAlex Molcan#78ATP Paris · Q26:7 2:6
Moise Kouame
First match in this tournament.