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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Jarry vs Dellien 0:2: result and our tips

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Nicolas JarryATP #784Elo 1772clay 1780
0:2final1:6 3:6
Hugo DellienATP #119Elo 1837clay 1856

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dellien: 8 matches in a row without a tie-break

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dellien: 5 matches in a row under 23.5 games

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dellien: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Won48%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dellien: 5 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nicolas Jarry44%
Hugo Dellien56%

Elo: N. Jarry 39% · H. Dellien 61%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Jarry26%
2:1 N. Jarry18%
2:1 H. Dellien21%
2:0 H. Dellien36%

First set

Nicolas Jarry45%
Hugo Dellien55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.552%49%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,751 matches

Games handicap

H. Dellien −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Nicolas JarryHugo Dellien
3Aces2
2Double faults1
60%First serves in83%
50%First-serve points won85%
42%Second-serve points won71%
0/2Break points converted4/4
4/8Service games held8/8
47%Service points won83%
17%Return points won53%
29Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. JarryTourH. Dellien
Service points won64%62%61%
Return points won37%38%41%
Service games held79%76%76%
Breaks of serve21%24%32%
Aces per service game0.580.24
Double faults per game0.170.14
Sets with a tie-break30%7%
Tie-breaks won3/107/12
Wins in straight sets40%69%
Matches in the sample1475

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nicolas Jarry

Hugo Dellien

Elo over the last year

Nicolas JarryHugo Dellien

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. JarryH. Dellien
Hard court0–50%1–420%
Clay5–456%47–2268%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

N. Jarry 2–1 H. Dellien

  • 30/05/23Winner: N. Jarry6:4 6:4 6:2
  • 03/12/21Winner: N. Jarry7:6 7:6
  • 22/11/21Winner: H. Dellien3:6 6:3 5:7

See also