Challenger CaliChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Dellien vs La Serna 0:1: result and our tips

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Hugo DellienATP #118Elo 1837clay 1856
0:1retired3:6 0:2
Juan Manuel La SernaATP #253Elo 1669clay 1676

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 21.557%

Where the number comes from: market alone 51% → with the players' profiles 57%

Dellien: 5 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Dellien73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dellien won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.545%

Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 45%

Dellien: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hugo Dellien69%
Juan Manuel La Serna31%

Elo: H. Dellien 74% · J. La Serna 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Dellien46%
2:1 H. Dellien23%
2:1 J. La Serna14%
2:0 J. La Serna17%

First set

Hugo Dellien64%
Juan Manuel La Serna36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%76%
18.565%35%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.545%55%46%
22.540%60%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 4,029 matches

Games handicap

Hugo Dellien −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

Match stats

Hugo DellienJuan Manuel La Serna
0Aces1
4Double faults2
51%First serves in68%
56%First-serve points won68%
35%Second-serve points won56%
1/1Break points converted4/5
2/6Service games held4/5
46%Service points won64%
36%Return points won54%
26Total points won37

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. DellienTourJ. La Serna
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won42%38%44%
Service games held76%76%71%
Breaks of serve32%24%35%
Aces per service game0.250.18
Double faults per game0.130.25
Sets with a tie-break7%9%
Tie-breaks won7/126/13
Wins in straight sets69%48%
Matches in the sample7462

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hugo Dellien

Juan Manuel La Serna

Elo over the last year

Hugo DellienJuan Manuel La Serna

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. DellienJ. La Serna
Hard court1–420%2–167%
Clay47–2169%38–2164%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

H. Dellien 2–0 J. La Serna

  • 17/10/26Winner: Hugo Dellien6:4 6:3
  • 06/02/26Winner: Hugo Dellien6:3 6:2