Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets
Justo vs La Serna: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Guido Ivan Justo68%
Juan Manuel La Serna32%
Elo: G. Justo 68% · J. La Serna 32%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 G. Justo45%
2:1 G. Justo20%
2:1 J. La Serna14%
2:0 J. La Serna21%
First set
Guido Ivan Justo62%
Juan Manuel La Serna38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%
Total games
Expected total: 21.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 74% | 26% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 66% | 34% | 75% |
| 18.5 | 57% | 43% | 67% |
| 19.5 | 50% | 50% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 45% | 55% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 39% | 61% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 35% | 65% | 40% |
Sample: 10,488 matches
Games handicap
Guido Ivan Justo −3.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes16%
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Justo | Tour | J. La Serna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 45% | 38% | 44% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 24% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.15 | 0.18 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.16 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/21 | 6/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 84 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Guido Ivan Justo
- 13/10/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#703Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:1 2:6 6:0
- 07/10/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#230Challenger Antofagasta · R165:7
- 06/10/26WFrancisco Comesana#125Challenger Antofagasta · R326:7 7:6 6:1
- 04/10/26WGustavo Heide#116Challenger Curitiba · F6:1 6:4
- 03/10/26WTomas Barrios Vera#132Challenger Curitiba · SF4:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#323Challenger Curitiba · QF6:2 6:4
- 01/10/26WPedro Sakamoto#482Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 6:4
- 30/09/26WFranco Roncadelli#265Challenger Curitiba · R327:6 6:2
- 23/09/26LFacundo Mena#197Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R164:6 6:7
- 21/09/26WGonzalo Villanueva#323Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:4 3:6 6:1
Juan Manuel La Serna
- 13/10/26WHernan Casanova#411Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 10/09/26LLukas Neumayer#180Challenger Tulln · R165:7 7:6 1:6
- 08/09/26WFilip Cristian Jianu#289Challenger Tulln · R326:4 3:6 6:3
- 04/09/26LYanaki Milev#619Challenger Plovdiv 3 · QF3:6 6:3 1:6
- 03/09/26WNikita Mashtakov#513Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R166:2 6:4
- 01/09/26WAlexander Vasilev#611Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R326:1 6:2
- 26/08/26LHynek Barton#288Challenger Augsburg · R166:1 5:7 2:6
- 25/08/26WBenjamin Hassan#500Challenger Augsburg · R326:2 3:6 7:5
- 20/08/26LTommaso Compagnucci#372Challenger Sion · QF3:6 7:6 4:6
- 19/08/26WLuca Staeheli#431Challenger Sion · R166:3 1:1
Elo over the last year
Guido Ivan JustoJuan Manuel La Serna
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Justo | J. La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–10% | 2–167% |
| Clay | 54–2965% | 36–2064% |
Head to head
G. Justo 1–1 J. La Serna
- 09/04/26Winner: Guido Ivan Justo6:4 6:3
- 31/03/26Winner: Juan Manuel La Serna6:7 6:2 2:6
Road through the tournament
Guido Ivan Justo
- 13/10/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#703Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:1 2:6 6:0
Juan Manuel La Serna
- 13/10/26WHernan Casanova#411Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 6:4