Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Reis Da Silva vs Justo 1:0: result and our tips

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Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaATP #230Elo 1699clay 1708
1:0retired7:5
Guido Ivan JustoATP #188Elo 1779clay 1790

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.561%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Reis Da Silva 15 of 20, Justo 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.540%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 40%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Reis Da Silva 12 of 20, Justo 9 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva52%
Guido Ivan Justo48%

Elo: J. Reis Da Silva 39% · G. Justo 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Reis Da Silva33%
2:1 J. Reis Da Silva20%
2:1 G. Justo19%
2:0 G. Justo28%

First set

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva52%
Guido Ivan Justo48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,342 matches

Games handicap

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Match stats

Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaGuido Ivan Justo
2Aces1
2Double faults1
65%First serves in64%
77%First-serve points won59%
25%Second-serve points won40%
3/5Break points converted2/3
4/6Service games held3/6
59%Service points won52%
48%Return points won41%
40Total points won36

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Reis Da SilvaTourG. Justo
Service points won62%62%60%
Return points won38%38%44%
Service games held74%76%73%
Breaks of serve24%24%37%
Aces per service game0.260.16
Double faults per game0.150.16
Sets with a tie-break10%11%
Tie-breaks won6/1410/21
Wins in straight sets70%68%
Matches in the sample5783

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Guido Ivan Justo

Elo over the last year

Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaGuido Ivan Justo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Reis Da SilvaG. Justo
Hard court0–20%0–10%
Clay27–2750%53–2965%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

J. Reis Da Silva 0–1 G. Justo

  • 20/11/25Winner: Guido Ivan Justo6:4 6:7 2:6

Road through the tournament

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Guido Ivan Justo