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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Zarate vs Dellien 0:2: result and our tips

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Carlos Maria ZarateATP #341Elo 1565clay 1575
0:2final0:6 2:6
Hugo DellienATP #107Elo 1854clay 1871

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 21.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 64%

Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Zarate 13 of 20, Dellien 16 of 20 (tour average 53%); Dellien: 7 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Other tips

  • Set Betting: Dellien 2-0Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Zarate lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches, Dellien won 2-0 in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won45%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 45%

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Zarate 9 of 20, Dellien 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carlos Maria Zarate16%
Hugo Dellien84%

Elo: C. Zarate 15% · H. Dellien 85%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Zarate9%
2:1 C. Zarate8%
2:1 H. Dellien22%
2:0 H. Dellien62%

First set

Carlos Maria Zarate24%
Hugo Dellien77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.575%25%84%
17.565%35%76%
18.555%45%68%
19.548%53%59%
20.542%58%52%
21.537%63%47%
22.532%68%40%

Sample: 2,000 matches

Games handicap

H. Dellien −5.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Carlos Maria ZarateHugo Dellien
2Aces2
1Double faults0
67%First serves in71%
37%First-serve points won76%
41%Second-serve points won70%
1/2Break points converted6/14
1/7Service games held6/7
39%Service points won74%
26%Return points won62%
29Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. ZarateTourH. Dellien
Service points won59%62%62%
Return points won39%38%42%
Service games held71%76%76%
Breaks of serve25%24%32%
Aces per service game0.280.25
Double faults per game0.280.14
Sets with a tie-break12%7%
Tie-breaks won8/97/12
Wins in straight sets63%70%
Matches in the sample3377

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carlos Maria Zarate

Hugo Dellien

Elo over the last year

Carlos Maria ZarateHugo Dellien

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. ZarateH. Dellien
Hard court1–150%1–420%
Clay15–1648%49–2269%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Carlos Maria Zarate

Hugo Dellien