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WTA 125 QuerétaroFinalclaybest of three sets

Maria vs Andreescu 1:2: result and our tips

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Tatjana MariaWTA #66Elo 1813clay 1724
1:2final1:6 6:2 3:6
Bianca AndreescuWTA #109Elo 1821clay 1788

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: AndreescuWon62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Andreescu: 9 wins in a row; Andreescu won 9 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Maria 15 of 20, Andreescu 18 of 20 (tour average 67%); Andreescu: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Lost57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Maria 15 of 20, Andreescu 17 of 20 (tour average 63%); Andreescu: 7 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
1st Set Winner: MariaLost46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Maria: 6 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tatjana Maria34%
Bianca Andreescu66%

Elo: T. Maria 41% · B. Andreescu 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Maria22%
2:1 T. Maria17%
2:1 B. Andreescu22%
2:0 B. Andreescu39%

First set

Tatjana Maria43%
Bianca Andreescu57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.538%62%33%
24.535%65%31%

Sample: 1,447 matches

Games handicap

B. Andreescu −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 24 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tatjana MariaBianca Andreescu
5Aces4
6Double faults6
56%First serves in65%
57%First-serve points won60%
41%Second-serve points won48%
4/10Break points converted6/24
6/12Service games held8/12
50%Service points won56%
44%Return points won50%
94Total points won104

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. MariaTourB. Andreescu
Service points won58%56%58%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held68%63%70%
Breaks of serve37%37%36%
Aces per service game0.400.33
Double faults per game0.240.29
Sets with a tie-break10%9%
Tie-breaks won7/136/9
Wins in straight sets85%72%
Matches in the sample6041

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tatjana Maria

Bianca Andreescu

Elo over the last year

Tatjana MariaBianca Andreescu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. MariaB. Andreescu
Hard court6–1529%14–961%
Clay11–761%8–562%
Grass16–576%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Tatjana Maria

Bianca Andreescu

See also