WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 16claybest of three sets
Maria vs Colmegna: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 1hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Tatjana Maria93%
Martina Colmegna7%
Elo: T. Maria 71% · M. Colmegna 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Maria80%
2:1 T. Maria13%
2:1 M. Colmegna4%
2:0 M. Colmegna3%
First set
Tatjana Maria89%
Martina Colmegna12%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes17%
no83%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 55%market (no margin): 50%
The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 18.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5 | 81% | 19% | 93% |
| 15.5 | 69% | 31% | 86% |
| 16.5 | 56% | 44% | 78% |
| 17.5 | 45% | 55% | 69% |
| 18.5 | 36% | 64% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 30% | 70% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 24% | 76% | 45% |
Sample: 562 matches
Games handicap
T. Maria −7.545%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes12%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Maria | Tour | M. Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 56% | 54% |
| Return points won | 43% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 69% | 63% | 59% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.10 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/11 | 3/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 80% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 11 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tatjana Maria
- 27/10/26WCarlota Garibay RomeroWTA 125 Querétaro · R326:0 6:0
- 14/09/26LTaylor Townsend#89WTA Guadalajara · R327:6 3:6 2:6
- 03/09/26LNikola Bartunkova#29WTA US Open · R647:6 2:6 3:6
- 01/09/26WJeļena Ostapenko#26WTA US Open · R1284:6 6:1 6:2
- 15/08/26LDiana Shnaider#13WTA Cincinnati · R642:6 5:7
- 13/08/26WDayana Yastremska#97WTA Cincinnati · R1286:1 6:2
- 04/08/26LCaty McNally#63WTA Toronto · R1286:4 6:7 1:6
- 01/08/26WIsabella Marton#834WTA Toronto · Q16:1 6:4
- 29/07/26LRenata Zarazua#95WTA Memphis · R164:6 4:6
- 27/07/26WTalia Gibson#38WTA Memphis · R326:0 6:3
Martina Colmegna
- 27/10/26WZuzanna Pawlikowska#330WTA 125 Querétaro · R326:4 0:6 6:2
- 13/10/26LFrancesca Jones#98WTA 125 Lisbon · R325:7 1:6
- 15/09/26LMia Ristic#182WTA 125 Ljubljana · R325:7 6:7
- 14/09/26WGabriella Price#981WTA 125 Ljubljana · Q16:2 6:3
- 14/07/26LBarbora Palicova#181WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · R326:3 6:7 1:6
- 12/07/26WBarbora Palicova#181WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · Q16:3 7:6
- 23/02/26LAnastasia Zolotareva#296WTA 125 Antalya · Q13:6 5:7
- 22/02/26WCarolina Alves#309WTA 125 Antalya · Q16:4 7:6
- 02/12/25LOleksandra Oliynykova#62WTA 125 Quito · R323:6 6:3 3:6
- 01/12/25WMarie Elise CasaresWTA 125 Quito · Q17:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Tatjana MariaMartina Colmegna
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Maria | M. Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–1529% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 8–753% | 5–645% |
| Grass | 16–576% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Tatjana Maria
- 27/10/26WCarlota Garibay RomeroWTA 125 Querétaro · R326:0 6:0
Martina Colmegna
- 27/10/26WZuzanna Pawlikowska#330WTA 125 Querétaro · R326:4 0:6 6:2