Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Mpetshi Perricard vs Sorger 2:1: result and our tips
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2:1final6:3 5:7 7:6(6)
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard81%
Sebastian Sorger19%
Elo: G. Mpetshi Perricard 89% · S. Sorger 11%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 G. Mpetshi Perricard60%
2:1 G. Mpetshi Perricard21%
2:1 S. Sorger9%
2:0 S. Sorger10%
First set
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard75%
Sebastian Sorger25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 58%market (no margin): 47%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 31% | 69% | 35% |
Sample: 2,877 matches
Games handicap
G. Mpetshi Perricard −4.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes38%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.5out · 34 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Aces | 7 |
| 4 | Double faults | 3 |
| 74% | First serves in | 69% |
| 86% | First-serve points won | 86% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 58% |
| 1/2 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 16/17 | Service games held | 15/16 |
| 75% | Service points won | 77% |
| 23% | Return points won | 25% |
| 90 | Total points won | 89 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Mpetshi Perricard | Tour | S. Sorger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 29% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 11% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 1.17 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 34% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 19/36 | 2/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 41 | 15 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
- 01/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#532Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:4 6:4
- 27/10/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Basel · R326:7 5:7
- 25/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Basel · Q27:6 7:6
- 24/10/26WSebastián Báez#52ATP Basel · Q16:3 3:6 6:3
- 17/10/26LRemy Bertola#222ATP Brussels · Q16:7 7:6 5:7
- 13/10/26LEtienne Donnet#855Challenger Roanne · R326:7 6:7
- 31/08/26LJurij Rodionov#142ATP US Open · R1286:7 0:6 6:7
- 23/08/26LJenson Brooksby#94ATP Winston Salem · R643:6 2:6
- 11/08/26LTrevor Svajda#481ATP Cincinnati · Q11:6 6:1 2:6
- 04/08/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#37ATP Montreal · R1282:6 6:3 3:6
Sebastian Sorger
- 01/11/26WM. Cerny#689Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q10:6 6:1 6:3
- 24/10/26LFabian Marozsan#61ATP Vienna · Q16:3 4:6 4:6
- 07/09/26LMartin Krumich#302Challenger Tulln · R326:3 4:6 3:6
- 03/09/26LValerio Aboian#258Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R167:6 0:6 2:6
- 01/09/26WPetr Brunclik#499Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:6 6:1
- 05/08/26LPyotr Nesterov#286Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R164:6 6:7
- 03/08/26WSandro Kopp#294Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R326:1 6:1
- 07/06/26LHynek Barton#277Challenger Bratislava · Q13:6 1:6
- 17/05/26LDaniel BagnoliniChallenger Cervia · Q13:6 7:5 2:6
- 10/05/26LGeorge Loffhagen#491Challenger Zagreb · Q12:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardSebastian Sorger
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Mpetshi Perricard | S. Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 10–1737% | 1–420% |
| Clay | 3–443% | 2–820% |
| Grass | 4–357% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
- 01/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#532Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:4 6:4
Sebastian Sorger
- 01/11/26WM. Cerny#689Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q10:6 6:1 6:3
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