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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Mpetshi Perricard vs Ghazouani Durand 2:0: result and our tips

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Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardATP #145Elo 1802hard 1754
2:0final6:4 6:4
Yanis Ghazouani DurandATP #532Elo 1539hard 1567

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard86%
Yanis Ghazouani Durand14%

Elo: G. Mpetshi Perricard 75% · Y. Ghazouani Durand 25%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Mpetshi Perricard66%
2:1 G. Mpetshi Perricard19%
2:1 Y. Ghazouani Durand7%
2:0 Y. Ghazouani Durand8%

First set

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard79%
Yanis Ghazouani Durand21%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes26%
no74%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 62%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.580%20%80%
18.570%30%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.551%49%54%
21.543%57%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.531%69%37%

Sample: 2,035 matches

Games handicap

G. Mpetshi Perricard −5.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardYanis Ghazouani Durand
17Aces4
1Double faults1
80%First serves in69%
80%First-serve points won65%
60%Second-serve points won59%
3/5Break points converted1/1
9/10Service games held7/10
76%Service points won63%
37%Return points won24%
58Total points won46

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. Mpetshi PerricardTourY. Ghazouani Durand
Service points won68%62%60%
Return points won29%38%40%
Service games held86%76%73%
Breaks of serve11%24%28%
Aces per service game1.160.30
Double faults per game0.240.36
Sets with a tie-break35%6%
Tie-breaks won19/361/3
Wins in straight sets44%50%
Matches in the sample4022

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

  • 11/10/26LTom Paris#764Challenger Roanne · Q16:3 2:6 4:6
  • 29/09/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#182Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R323:6 2:6
  • 28/09/26WLeonardo Rossi#534Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q26:4 7:5
  • 27/09/26WEmile Hudd#466Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q12:6 6:2 6:3
  • 20/09/26LKarl Poling#453Challenger Saint Tropez · Q12:6 1:6
  • 17/09/26LFrancesco Maestrelli#176Challenger Rennes · R166:4 6:7 3:6
  • 15/09/26WLeo Raquillet#703Challenger Rennes · R326:1 6:4
  • 14/09/26WNikola Slavic#865Challenger Rennes · Q24:6 6:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26WGijs Brouwer#832Challenger Rennes · Q16:3 2:6 6:4
  • 10/09/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#182Challenger Cassis · R161:6 6:7

Elo over the last year

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardYanis Ghazouani Durand

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. Mpetshi PerricardY. Ghazouani Durand
Hard court9–1735%11–761%
Clay3–443%1–325%
Grass4–357%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also