Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Clarke vs Cadenasso: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 18h 10mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Jay Clarke58%
Gianluca Cadenasso42%
Elo: J. Clarke 43% · G. Cadenasso 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Clarke37%
2:1 J. Clarke21%
2:1 G. Cadenasso17%
2:0 G. Cadenasso25%
First set
Jay Clarke56%
Gianluca Cadenasso44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 6,029 matches
Games handicap
J. Clarke −2.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes27%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Clarke | Tour | G. Cadenasso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.31 | 0.24 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/17 | 5/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 65 | 47 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jay Clarke
- 03/11/26WFederico Bondioli#326Challenger Taranto · R326:4 6:2
- 20/10/26LDimitris Sakellaridis#541Challenger Florence · R325:7 6:4 2:6
- 06/10/26LGabriele Piraino#390Challenger Palermo · R323:6 1:6
- 30/09/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#383Challenger Bari · R164:6 4:6
- 29/09/26WFabrizio Andaloro#778Challenger Bari · R326:2 6:1
- 25/09/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#306Challenger Genoa 2 · QF0:6 0:2
- 24/09/26WGiuseppe La Vela#536Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:1 6:2
- 22/09/26WJohn Sperle#666Challenger Genoa 2 · R327:5 6:3
- 19/09/26LAlejandro Moro Canas#238Challenger Biella · SF3:6 6:4 2:6
- 18/09/26WFelix Gill#228Challenger Biella · QF6:7 6:1 6:3
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 03/11/26WFlorent Bax#292Challenger Taranto · R327:5 6:2
- 20/10/26LSandro Kopp#294Challenger Florence · R326:7 1:6
- 18/10/26WRadu Mihai Papoe#280Challenger Catania · F6:4 3:6 6:4
- 17/10/26WMassimo Giunta#368Challenger Catania · SF6:2 6:3
- 16/10/26WMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Catania · QF7:5 4:6 7:6
- 15/10/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Catania · R167:5 6:4
- 13/10/26WKai Wehnelt#643Challenger Catania · R326:7 6:3 6:4
- 07/10/26LMassimo Giunta#368Challenger Palermo · R166:7 5:7
- 06/10/26WFilippo MoroniChallenger Palermo · R323:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/10/26LVitaliy Sachko#175Challenger Bari · QF6:4 2:6 0:3
Elo over the last year
Jay ClarkeGianluca Cadenasso
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Clarke | G. Cadenasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1158% | 1–0100% |
| Clay | 17–1750% | 26–1958% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jay Clarke
- 03/11/26WFederico Bondioli#326Challenger Taranto · R326:4 6:2
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 03/11/26WFlorent Bax#292Challenger Taranto · R327:5 6:2