Clarke vs Bondioli 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Clarke won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Bondioli lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Tie-break in Match: NoWon71%
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 71%
Clarke: 7 matches in a row without a tie-break
- Total Games: Over 20.5Lost57%
Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 57%
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Clarke 14 of 20, Bondioli 12 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 36% → with the players' profiles 33%
Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Clarke 11 of 20, Bondioli 11 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. Clarke 65% · F. Bondioli 35%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 6,013 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.0in · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Jay Clarke | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 2 |
| 0 | Double faults | 4 |
| 48% | First serves in | 71% |
| 76% | First-serve points won | 58% |
| 61% | Second-serve points won | 45% |
| 3/10 | Break points converted | 0/4 |
| 9/9 | Service games held | 6/9 |
| 68% | Service points won | 54% |
| 46% | Return points won | 32% |
| 72 | Total points won | 56 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Clarke | Tour | F. Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.31 | 0.31 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/17 | 8/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 41 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jay Clarke
- 20/10/26LDimitris Sakellaridis#541Challenger Florence · R325:7 6:4 2:6
- 06/10/26LGabriele Piraino#390Challenger Palermo · R323:6 1:6
- 30/09/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#383Challenger Bari · R164:6 4:6
- 29/09/26WFabrizio Andaloro#778Challenger Bari · R326:2 6:1
- 25/09/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#306Challenger Genoa 2 · QF0:6 0:2
- 24/09/26WGiuseppe La Vela#536Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:1 6:2
- 22/09/26WJohn Sperle#666Challenger Genoa 2 · R327:5 6:3
- 19/09/26LAlejandro Moro Canas#238Challenger Biella · SF3:6 6:4 2:6
- 18/09/26WFelix Gill#228Challenger Biella · QF6:7 6:1 6:3
- 16/09/26WPetr Brunclik#499Challenger Biella · R166:1 7:5
Federico Bondioli
- 22/10/26LFrancesco Forti#322Challenger Florence · R161:6 0:6
- 19/10/26WZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Florence · R324:6 6:3 6:2
- 13/10/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#309Challenger Catania · R321:6 7:5 6:7
- 31/08/26LFederico Arnaboldi#473Challenger Como · R324:2
- 19/07/26LMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Cordenons · F2:6 0:6
- 18/07/26WMatyas Fuele#640Challenger Cordenons · SF6:2 6:4
- 17/07/26WSumit Nagal#265Challenger Cordenons · QF1:6 7:5 6:3
- 15/07/26WGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Cordenons · R166:3 7:6
- 14/07/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#392Challenger Cordenons · R326:7 6:3 7:6
- 10/07/26LHenry Bernet#366Challenger Trieste · QF6:2 6:7 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Clarke | F. Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1156% | 1–325% |
| Clay | 17–1750% | 18–1850% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.