ATP ParisMasters 1000Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Shelton vs Rinderknech: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 18h 8mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Ben Shelton79%
Arthur Rinderknech21%
Elo: B. Shelton 79% · A. Rinderknech 21%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 B. Shelton52%
2:1 B. Shelton22%
2:1 A. Rinderknech11%
2:0 A. Rinderknech15%
First set
Ben Shelton69%
Arthur Rinderknech31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
Expected total: 24.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 77% | 23% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 69% | 31% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 47% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 7,706 matches
Games handicap
B. Shelton −3.555%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes52%
tour average 37%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| B. Shelton | Tour | A. Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 70% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 33% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 89% | 76% | 87% |
| Breaks of serve | 15% | 24% | 15% |
| Aces per service game | 0.71 | 0.88 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 30% | 26% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 30/52 | 11/27 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 47% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 38 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ben Shelton
- 03/11/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
- 29/10/26LJerome Kym#164ATP Basel · R163:6 7:6 6:7
- 27/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Basel · R326:7 7:6 7:6
- 11/10/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Shanghai · R326:7 6:7
- 09/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Shanghai · R646:3 7:6
- 13/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · F3:6 6:7 7:5 2:6
- 11/09/26WFrances Tiafoe#8ATP US Open · SF4:6 6:3 6:3 7:5
- 09/09/26WCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP US Open · QF6:7 6:1 6:3 1:6 7:6
- 06/09/26WStefanos Tsitsipas#34ATP US Open · R166:2 6:3 6:4
- 05/09/26WDenis Shapovalov#51ATP US Open · R327:6 6:7 6:3 6:4
Arthur Rinderknech
- 04/11/26WMattia Bellucci#66ATP Paris · R326:4 6:1
- 03/11/26WFrancisco Cerúndolo#20ATP Paris · R643:6 7:6 2:0
- 27/10/26LJerome Kym#164ATP Basel · R326:7 4:6
- 04/09/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP US Open · R324:6 4:6 4:6
- 02/09/26WJaume Munar#65ATP US Open · R647:6 6:2 7:5
- 30/08/26WSho Shimabukuro#118ATP US Open · R1286:7 6:2 7:6 6:2
- 16/08/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Cincinnati · R646:4 6:7 6:7
- 08/08/26LBrandon Nakashima#18ATP Montreal · R166:7 7:5 5:7
- 07/08/26WFrances Tiafoe#8ATP Montreal · R326:2 2:0
- 05/08/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#60ATP Montreal · R646:7 6:4 6:4
Elo over the last year
Ben SheltonArthur Rinderknech
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| B. Shelton | A. Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–1270% | 8–1142% |
| Clay | 8–562% | 7–847% |
| Grass | 6–275% | 2–340% |
Head to head
B. Shelton 0–1 A. Rinderknech
- 17/06/25Winner: A. Rinderknech6:7 6:7
Road through the tournament
Ben Shelton
- 03/11/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
Arthur Rinderknech
- 03/11/26WFrancisco Cerúndolo#20ATP Paris · R643:6 7:6 2:0
- 04/11/26WMattia Bellucci#66ATP Paris · R326:4 6:1