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ATP ParisMasters 1000Round of 64hard, indoorbest of three sets

Rinderknech vs Cerúndolo 1:1: result and our tips

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Arthur RinderknechATP #68Elo 1917hard 1888
1:1retired3:6 7:6(2) 2:0
Francisco CerúndoloATP #20Elo 2032hard 1991

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.560%

Where the number comes from: market alone 57% → with the players' profiles 60%

Rinderknech: 11 matches in a row over 21.5 games; Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Rinderknech 15 of 20, Cerundolo 13 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 26.535%

Where the number comes from: market alone 32% → with the players' profiles 35%

Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Rinderknech 11 of 20, Cerundolo 8 of 20 (tour average 30%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Arthur Rinderknech37%
Francisco Cerúndolo63%

Elo: A. Rinderknech 36% · F. Cerúndolo 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Rinderknech22%
2:1 A. Rinderknech17%
2:1 F. Cerúndolo22%
2:0 F. Cerúndolo40%

First set

Arthur Rinderknech41%
Francisco Cerúndolo59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 46%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.568%32%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.554%46%46%
23.546%54%40%
24.542%58%38%
25.539%61%35%
26.536%65%30%

Sample: 5,842 matches

Games handicap

F. Cerúndolo −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes47%

tour average 39%

Match stats

Arthur RinderknechFrancisco Cerúndolo
—Aces—
—Double faults—
—First serves in—
—First-serve points won—
—Second-serve points won—
0/0Break points converted0/0
0/0Service games held0/0
—Service points won—
—Return points won—
0Total points won0

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. RinderknechTourF. Cerúndolo
Service points won67%62%63%
Return points won33%38%40%
Service games held86%76%78%
Breaks of serve15%24%29%
Aces per service game0.880.35
Double faults per game0.240.25
Sets with a tie-break26%12%
Tie-breaks won10/268/18
Wins in straight sets47%67%
Matches in the sample3757

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Arthur Rinderknech

Francisco Cerúndolo

Elo over the last year

Arthur RinderknechFrancisco Cerúndolo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. RinderknechF. Cerúndolo
Hard court6–1135%16–1257%
Clay7–847%15–865%
Grass2–340%5–183%

Head to head

A. Rinderknech 1–0 F. Cerúndolo

  • 15/03/22Winner: A. Rinderknech1:6 6:3 6:2

Upcoming matches

See also