Draxl vs Blanch 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Draxl: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Draxl 45% · D. Blanch 55%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,997 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.5out · 24 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Liam Draxl | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 8 |
| 2 | Double faults | 1 |
| 55% | First serves in | 62% |
| 79% | First-serve points won | 62% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 5/12 | Break points converted | 2/5 |
| 10/12 | Service games held | 7/12 |
| 63% | Service points won | 56% |
| 44% | Return points won | 37% |
| 85 | Total points won | 75 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Draxl | Tour | D. Blanch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/28 | 18/32 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 63 | 72 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Liam Draxl
- 29/10/26WDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger Sioux Falls · R164:5
- 27/10/26WTomasz Berkieta#642Challenger Sioux Falls · R327:6 7:6
- 17/10/26LMartin Landaluce#67Challenger Jinan · SF6:7 3:6
- 16/10/26WTomáš Macháč#69Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 3:6 6:4
- 15/10/26WIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Jinan · R166:4 0:6 6:4
- 14/10/26WJames Duckworth#70Challenger Jinan · R326:4 6:4
- 13/10/26WOmar Jasika#329Challenger Jinan · Q25:7 7:6 6:4
- 11/10/26WYutong DuChallenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 06/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#87ATP Shanghai · Q27:5 5:7 4:6
- 05/10/26WHugo Gaston#109ATP Shanghai · Q17:5 6:4
Darwin Blanch
- 29/10/26WMitchell Krueger#361Challenger Sioux Falls · R166:7 6:4 7:5
- 27/10/26WSebastian Gorzny#403Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:4 6:2
- 25/10/26LJenson Brooksby#94Challenger Fort Worth · F1:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WSander Jong#393Challenger Fort Worth · SF7:6 6:2
- 23/10/26WMees Rottgering#295Challenger Fort Worth · QF6:3 6:4
- 21/10/26WDaniel Milavsky#307Challenger Fort Worth · R166:1 6:4
- 20/10/26WAlbert Pedrico KravtsovChallenger Fort Worth · R326:4 7:5
- 02/10/26LDylan Dietrich#189Challenger Columbus · QF3:6 3:6
- 30/09/26WDaniel Milavsky#307Challenger Columbus · R166:3 1:6 6:3
- 29/09/26WPatrick Maloney#773Challenger Columbus · R326:4 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Draxl | D. Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–1863% | 27–1959% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 10–759% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 5–456% |
Head to head
L. Draxl 1–0 D. Blanch
- 20/10/25Winner: L. Draxl6:4 6:4
Road through the tournament
Liam Draxl
- 27/10/26WTomasz Berkieta#642Challenger Sioux Falls · R327:6 7:6
- 29/10/26WDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger Sioux Falls · R164:5
Darwin Blanch
- 27/10/26WSebastian Gorzny#403Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:4 6:2
- 29/10/26WMitchell Krueger#361Challenger Sioux Falls · R166:7 6:4 7:5