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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Gorzny vs Blanch 0:2: result and our tips

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Sebastian GorznyATP #402Elo 1719hard 1702
0:2final4:6 2:6
Darwin BlanchATP #144Elo 1841hard 1817

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 61%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Gorzny 14 of 20, Blanch 12 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: BlanchWon66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Blanch won 7 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Blanch: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Won45%

Where the number comes from: market alone 47% → with the players' profiles 45%

Blanch: 4 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sebastian Gorzny34%
Darwin Blanch66%

Elo: S. Gorzny 34% · D. Blanch 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Gorzny20%
2:1 S. Gorzny15%
2:1 D. Blanch22%
2:0 D. Blanch43%

First set

Sebastian Gorzny39%
Darwin Blanch61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,492 matches

Games handicap

D. Blanch −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sebastian GorznyDarwin Blanch
5Aces7
3Double faults1
68%First serves in49%
65%First-serve points won91%
53%Second-serve points won77%
0/0Break points converted3/5
6/9Service games held9/9
61%Service points won84%
16%Return points won39%
43Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. GorznyTourD. Blanch
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held80%76%80%
Breaks of serve24%24%22%
Aces per service game0.550.57
Double faults per game0.310.28
Sets with a tie-break12%18%
Tie-breaks won3/718/31
Wins in straight sets50%60%
Matches in the sample2271

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sebastian Gorzny

Darwin Blanch

Elo over the last year

Sebastian GorznyDarwin Blanch

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. GorznyD. Blanch
Hard court12–1055%25–2056%
Clay0–010–759%
Grass0–05–456%

Head to head

They have not met yet.