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Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Jong vs Blanch 0:2: result and our tips

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Sander JongATP #396Elo 1806hard 1810
0:2final6:7(5) 2:6
Darwin BlanchATP #144Elo 1839hard 1813

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 57%

Jong: 12 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Jong 12 of 12, Blanch 12 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: BlanchWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Blanch won 8 of the last 10 matches

  • 1st Set Winner: BlanchWon69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Jong lost the first set in 9 of the last 12 matches, Blanch won the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 44%

Jong: 5 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Jong 10 of 12, Blanch 9 of 20 (tour average 42%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sander Jong24%
Darwin Blanch76%

Elo: S. Jong 50% · D. Blanch 51%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Jong13%
2:1 S. Jong11%
2:1 D. Blanch22%
2:0 D. Blanch54%

First set

Sander Jong30%
Darwin Blanch70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,691 matches

Games handicap

D. Blanch −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Sander JongDarwin Blanch
5Aces1
2Double faults1
64%First serves in55%
67%First-serve points won75%
55%Second-serve points won69%
2/5Break points converted4/6
6/10Service games held8/10
63%Service points won72%
28%Return points won38%
51Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. JongTourD. Blanch
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held77%76%80%
Breaks of serve23%24%22%
Aces per service game0.500.58
Double faults per game0.310.29
Sets with a tie-break34%18%
Tie-breaks won9/1117/30
Wins in straight sets22%59%
Matches in the sample1269

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sander Jong

Darwin Blanch

Elo over the last year

Sander JongDarwin Blanch

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. JongD. Blanch
Hard court5–0100%24–1956%
Clay3–260%10–759%
Grass1–150%5–456%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sander Jong

Darwin Blanch

See also