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Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Finalhardbest of three sets

Brooksby vs Blanch 2:0: result and our tips

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Jenson BrooksbyATP #94Elo 1913hard 1893
2:0final6:1 6:4
Darwin BlanchATP #144Elo 1857hard 1834

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Brooksby 17 of 20, Blanch 13 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: BrooksbyWon64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 64%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Brooksby: 4 wins in a row; Brooksby won 7 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won57%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 57%

    Blanch: 5 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Long shot
1st Set Winner: BlanchLost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Blanch: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jenson Brooksby64%
Darwin Blanch36%

Elo: J. Brooksby 58% · D. Blanch 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Brooksby42%
2:1 J. Brooksby22%
2:1 D. Blanch16%
2:0 D. Blanch21%

First set

Jenson Brooksby60%
Darwin Blanch40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%61%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,672 matches

Games handicap

J. Brooksby −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jenson BrooksbyDarwin Blanch
5Aces0
1Double faults3
64%First serves in49%
79%First-serve points won75%
50%Second-serve points won52%
3/3Break points converted0/2
9/9Service games held5/8
68%Service points won63%
37%Return points won32%
60Total points won47

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. BrooksbyTourD. Blanch
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held76%76%80%
Breaks of serve22%24%22%
Aces per service game0.270.57
Double faults per game0.130.28
Sets with a tie-break9%18%
Tie-breaks won2/918/31
Wins in straight sets79%60%
Matches in the sample4370

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jenson Brooksby

Darwin Blanch

Elo over the last year

Jenson BrooksbyDarwin Blanch

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. BrooksbyD. Blanch
Hard court15–1452%25–1957%
Clay0–60%10–759%
Grass4–450%5–456%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jenson Brooksby

Darwin Blanch