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Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Brooksby vs Debru 2:1: result and our tips

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Jenson BrooksbyATP #94Elo 1904hard 1884
2:1final6:7(14) 6:3 6:2
Gabriel DebruATP #558Elo 1748hard 1719

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost73%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No tie-break in recent matches: Brooksby 16 of 20, Debru 8 of 9 (tour average 68%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jenson Brooksby83%
Gabriel Debru17%

Elo: J. Brooksby 72% · G. Debru 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Brooksby62%
2:1 J. Brooksby21%
2:1 G. Debru8%
2:0 G. Debru9%

First set

Jenson Brooksby77%
Gabriel Debru24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%79%
18.566%35%71%
19.557%43%62%
20.548%53%54%
21.542%58%49%
22.535%65%42%
23.530%70%37%

Sample: 2,475 matches

Games handicap

J. Brooksby −4.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.0in · 30 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jenson BrooksbyGabriel Debru
1Aces8
1Double faults5
71%First serves in68%
76%First-serve points won67%
53%Second-serve points won52%
3/8Break points converted0/3
15/15Service games held11/14
69%Service points won62%
38%Return points won31%
115Total points won98

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. BrooksbyTourG. Debru
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won37%38%41%
Service games held76%76%78%
Breaks of serve21%24%29%
Aces per service game0.290.39
Double faults per game0.130.29
Sets with a tie-break8%4%
Tie-breaks won2/81/1
Wins in straight sets83%25%
Matches in the sample439

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jenson Brooksby

Gabriel Debru

  • 23/10/26WErik Arutiunian#573Challenger Fort Worth · QF6:3 6:2
  • 22/10/26WAlex Rybakov#636Challenger Fort Worth · R161:6 6:3 6:4
  • 20/10/26WBraden Shick#205Challenger Fort Worth · R322:6 6:2 6:2
  • 02/08/26WConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#494Challenger Samsun · F3:6 7:5 6:4
  • 01/08/26WPaul Inchauspe#587Challenger Samsun · SF6:4 6:2
  • 31/07/26WKoki Matsuda#463Challenger Samsun · QF4:6 7:6 6:3
  • 29/07/26WFlorent Bax#290Challenger Samsun · R166:4 3:6 6:2
  • 27/07/26WGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Samsun · R324:6 6:2 6:2
  • 28/03/26LAlexis Galarneau#192ATP Houston · Q12:6 3:6
  • 31/01/25LGustavo Heide#113Challenger Piracicaba · R163:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Jenson BrooksbyGabriel Debru

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. BrooksbyG. Debru
Hard court14–1548%8–0100%
Clay0–60%0–10%
Grass4–450%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jenson Brooksby

Gabriel Debru