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Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Debru vs Arutiunian 2:0: result and our tips

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Gabriel DebruATP #558Elo 1728hard 1693
2:0final6:3 6:2
Erik ArutiunianATP #573Elo 1735hard 1728

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: DebruWon61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Debru: 7 wins in a row; Debru won 7 of the last 8 matches

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Debru: 3 matches in a row going the distance

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gabriel Debru62%
Erik Arutiunian38%

Elo: G. Debru 45% · E. Arutiunian 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Debru40%
2:1 G. Debru22%
2:1 E. Arutiunian16%
2:0 E. Arutiunian22%

First set

Gabriel Debru59%
Erik Arutiunian41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,777 matches

Games handicap

G. Debru −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Gabriel DebruErik Arutiunian
5Aces8
0Double faults1
76%First serves in62%
78%First-serve points won58%
39%Second-serve points won30%
4/6Break points converted1/3
8/9Service games held4/8
68%Service points won47%
53%Return points won32%
64Total points won42

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. DebruTourE. Arutiunian
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held77%76%80%
Breaks of serve28%24%21%
Aces per service game0.380.64
Double faults per game0.310.27
Sets with a tie-break5%16%
Tie-breaks won1/17/8
Wins in straight sets14%80%
Matches in the sample823

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gabriel Debru

  • 22/10/26WAlex Rybakov#636Challenger Fort Worth · R161:6 6:3 6:4
  • 20/10/26WBraden Shick#205Challenger Fort Worth · R322:6 6:2 6:2
  • 02/08/26WConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#494Challenger Samsun · F3:6 7:5 6:4
  • 01/08/26WPaul Inchauspe#587Challenger Samsun · SF6:4 6:2
  • 31/07/26WKoki Matsuda#463Challenger Samsun · QF4:6 7:6 6:3
  • 29/07/26WFlorent Bax#290Challenger Samsun · R166:4 3:6 6:2
  • 27/07/26WGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Samsun · R324:6 6:2 6:2
  • 28/03/26LAlexis Galarneau#192ATP Houston · Q12:6 3:6
  • 31/01/25LGustavo Heide#113Challenger Piracicaba · R163:6 3:6
  • 29/01/25WRenzo OlivoChallenger Piracicaba · R327:6 6:4

Erik Arutiunian

Elo over the last year

Gabriel DebruErik Arutiunian

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. DebruE. Arutiunian
Hard court7–0100%15–865%
Clay0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Gabriel Debru

Erik Arutiunian