Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Martin vs Arutiunian 1:2: result and our tips

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Andres MartinATP #338Elo 1585hard 1587
1:2final6:3 6:7(6) 4:6
Erik ArutiunianATP #588Elo 1679hard 1671

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost62%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 62%

Arutiunian: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andres Martin57%
Erik Arutiunian43%

Elo: A. Martin 38% · E. Arutiunian 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Martin37%
2:1 A. Martin21%
2:1 E. Arutiunian17%
2:0 E. Arutiunian26%

First set

Andres Martin55%
Erik Arutiunian45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,777 matches

Games handicap

Andres Martin −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Andres MartinErik Arutiunian
5Aces6
4Double faults7
61%First serves in52%
68%First-serve points won72%
50%Second-serve points won43%
4/15Break points converted4/6
12/16Service games held11/15
61%Service points won59%
41%Return points won39%
115Total points won109

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MartinTourE. Arutiunian
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held75%76%81%
Breaks of serve23%24%21%
Aces per service game0.300.64
Double faults per game0.220.25
Sets with a tie-break16%15%
Tie-breaks won11/205/7
Wins in straight sets56%86%
Matches in the sample5323

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andres Martin

  • 27/09/26LOliver Okonkwo#966Challenger Columbus · Q14:6 6:7
  • 23/09/26LKeaton Hance#764Challenger San Diego 2 · R324:6 5:7
  • 27/08/26LAidan Mayo#336Challenger Kingston 2 · QF4:6 4:6
  • 26/08/26WPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#426Challenger Kingston 2 · R165:7 6:3 6:4
  • 25/08/26WGijs Brouwer#831Challenger Kingston 2 · R325:7 7:6 6:0
  • 11/08/26LAndre Ilagan#203Challenger Brownsburg · R326:2 4:6 3:6
  • 07/08/26LSpencer Johnson#432Challenger Lexington · QF6:4 6:7 3:6
  • 06/08/26WMillen Hurrion#494Challenger Lexington · R166:3 4:6 6:2
  • 04/08/26WNicolas ArseneaultChallenger Lexington · R326:2 6:2
  • 03/08/26WTrevor Svajda#474Challenger Lexington · Q26:4 7:6

Erik Arutiunian

Elo over the last year

Andres MartinErik Arutiunian

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MartinE. Arutiunian
Hard court21–2348%14–961%
Clay2–625%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Andres Martin

First match in this tournament.

Erik Arutiunian